Alaska, 2007

Heavy Snow in Alaska, January 26 to 27, 2007

January 26 to 27, 2007 · NWS AJK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A storm died out in the far Western Gulf of Alaska on Thursday, Jan. 25th.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

A storm died out in the far Western Gulf of Alaska on Thursday, Jan. 25th. A long fetch aloft of warm, tropical, moist air was aimmed at Yakutat from due south that persisted through Friday, Jan. 26th. Arctic air remained at the surface near Yakutat during this entire event.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 26, 1:30 AM AKST, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 26, 1:30 AM AKST, 1 hour 30 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
630 AM AST FRI JAN 26 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
.SHORT RANGE...HIGH AMPLITUDE 50H RIDGE OVER EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEAST ALASKA IS EXPECTED TO TILT NE AND ALLOW A WEAKENING
WARM FRONT TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WHILE SURFACE
RIDGE ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONES HOLDS FAST AND PREVENTS SURFACE FRONT
FROM MOVING THROUGH. CONFIDENCE ON THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE TO WORK
ITS WAY ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE IT NOT TOO GOOD WITH
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN LOW MOS POPS BUT INCREASED QPF. HEAVIEST SNOW
WILL BE ACROSS ZONE 17 WITH FAVORABLE LIFT AND HAVE ISSUED WSW
FOR COMBINED HEAVY SNOW AND WIND ADVISORY WITH BLOWING SNOW WEST
OF ICY BAY. SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE IN PAYA THROUGH THE MORNING AND
MIX WITH SNOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH TOTAL OF 6 TO 10 INCHES
EXPECTED. RAIN AND SNOW IN PAYA GOES BACK TO ALL SNOW LATE
TONIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO.

ACROSS NORTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA HAVE KEPT POPS AT CHANCE TODAY
BUT HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY TONIGHT WITH MORE AGGRESSIVE
GFS USED. OVERALL QPF GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH
NORTHERN PANHANDLE SO TOTAL SNOW 1 TO 2 INCHES. SNOW WILL LIKELY
MIX WITH RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE OR POSSIBLE TRANSITION
THROUGH FREEZING RAIN WHERE COLD AIR BECOMES TRAPPED IN LOW
LEVELS. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS TO INCREASE IN PAGY AS PRESSURE FALLS
ACROSS INTERIOR.

BROUGHT IN A CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TONIGHT THAT
BECOMES A MIX ON SATURDAY. ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS
SOUTHERN EARLY SATURDAY. WITH UPPER LEVEL FLOW FROM SW WILL KEEP
SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY. BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON...UPPER RIDGE REBOUNDS
TO WEST AND SHOULD SEE DECREASING CLOUDS LATE.

.LONG RANGE...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON BUILDING A STRONG UPPER
RIDGE INTO THE AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...THEN KEEPING IT AROUND
THRU AT LEAST MIDWEEK. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES ON SHAPE
AND ORIENTATION OF THE RIDGE...BUT TREND SEEMS TO BE FOR A MORE
ROBUST CLOSED OFF CENTER OVER SE AK OR THE FAR ERN GULF...WHICH
WILL TEND TO BE BLOCKY. FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...WENT AHEAD
AND USED THE 00Z GFS40 RUN AS IT LOOKED LIKE A REASONABLE
COMPROMISE AMONGST THE GLOBAL MODELS.

FOR THE LATE WEEKEND TIME FRAME...AHEAD OF THE ARRIVING CLOSING
OFF RIDGE...MAY HAVE A WEAK SHORTWAVE TRY TO MOVE ACROSS THE NW
PART OF THE AREA. THINK THE PRECIP THREAT FROM THIS WILL BE
MAINLY OVER THE NW THIRD OF THE AREA...WITH HIGHEST THREAT OVER
THE NE GULF COAST AROUND PAYA SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. LOOKS LIKE
MAINLY SOME BROKEN TO OVERCAST HIGH AND MIDDLE CLOUDS AS FAR SE
AS THE S-CENTRAL AREA...WHILE THE FAR SE REMAINS UNDER SCATTERED
CLOUDS OR LESS THRU SUN.

THEN...AS MAIN CENTER OF RIDGE MOVES IN EARLY NEXT WEEK...MAIN
FRONTAL ZONE WILL BE FORCED BACK TO THE NW OUT OF THE AREA. THINK
THE AREA WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR BY MON NIGHT...AND THIS SHOULD
LAST THRU AT LEAST WED. TRICKY PART OF FORECAST WILL BE WHETHER
ANY STUBBORN FOG DEVELOPS. BASED ON SFC PRES GRADIENTS...IT MAY
ONLY BE HIGHLY LOCALIZED AND BURN OFF DURING THE DAY WITH SOME
MIXING HELP FROM AN OFFSHORE WIND. IF THIS OCCURS...WILL HAVE
GENERALLY MILD DAYS AND CHILLY NIGHTS.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...WSW HEAVY SNOW AND WIND AKZ017
MARINE...GALE PKZ051-052 TODAY
         SMCR PKZ023, 033, AND 041-043 THROUGH TONIGHT

MM/RWT

Event by event

1 heavy snow. Local standard time, as filed.

Heavy Snow, Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area

When
January 26, 3:00 AM AKST to January 27, 12:01 AM AKST
Where
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area forecast zone
Reported by
ASOS

Yakutat NWS WFO augmented ASOS: measured 15.7 inches new storm total for this event from midnight AKST 1/26 to 1/27.

What these are

Heavy Snow
Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, January 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 10604.