Hail in Tennessee, May 13, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
750 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LOW OVER THE VICINITY OF LAKE MICHIGAN IS SLOWLY
DROPPING SOUTH TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY.  A SERIES OF WAVES CONTINUES
TO ROTATE AROUND THE LOW...PROVIDING THE POTENTIAL FOR ASSOCIATED
PRECIP TO BRUSH ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES.  ADDITIONALLY...AN UPPER
JET WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT...PROVIDING
DECENT UPPER SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION.  THE MAIN FOCUS OF THIS SHOULD
REMAIN TO OUR WEST AND SOUTH.  WITH OUR AIR MASS REMAINING FAIRLY
DRY IN WESTERLY FLOW WITH DEWPOINT IN THE 40S...CHANCE POPS
CURRENTLY IN FORECAST SHOULD HANDLE THE SITUATION.  WILL UPDATE
FORECAST TO REMOVE EVENING WORDING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             51  67  46  66 /  40  30  20  20
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  49  63  43  63 /  50  40  30  30
OAK RIDGE, TN                       48  62  44  63 /  50  40  30  30
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              47  61  42  61 /  50  40  30  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
345 AM EDT SAT MAY 13 2006

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-140830-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
345 AM EDT (245 AM CDT) SAT MAY 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
TONIGHT...RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST OUT THROUGH
THURSDAY...DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR
NORTH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY REGIONS.

HOWEVER...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME.

TG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
812 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2006

TNZ099-140045-
HAMILTON-
812 PM EDT SAT MAY 13 2006

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 811 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN....MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY...INCLUDING LOOKOUT MOUNTAIN AND
CHATTANOOGA...EAST BRAINERD...AND OOLTEWAH...SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS. REMEMBER...
IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY
LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT SUNDAY
MORNING FOR EAST TENNESSEE.

DGS