Hail in Pennsylvania, April 13, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
230 PM EDT THU APR 13 2006

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND FRIDAY)...
MODELS CONTINUING TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH
MCS INTO FORECAST AREA TOWARD DAYBREAK. WILL GO WITH HIGH POPS LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING...THEN TAPER OFF TO CHANCE POPS WEST AND
LIKELY IN THE EAST DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAYS READINGS.

&&

.LONG TERM(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
AFTER MCS MOVES PAST CWA FRIDAY SHOULD BE A DRY PERIOD FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY AS BOUNDARY IS SHUNTED SOUTH. WAVY BOUNDARY WILL BE
ACROSS OR CLOSE BY CWA THROUGH EXTENDED PERIOD WITH HARD TO TIME
MCS. DRY DAYS TUE AND THU AS IT STANDS NOW BUT SOUTHERN CWA WILL BE
CLOSE TO ACTION AND MAY NEED POPS ADDED LATER. TEMPERATURES ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SCATTERED CUMULUS AROUND
4000 FEET SHOULD PERSIST DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON WITH
BROKEN MID CLOUDS PUSHING INTO THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH MCS
MOVING INTO REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST TOWARD DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
MENTIONED MVFR CONDITIONS IN PRECIPITATION MAINLY AFTER 09Z FRIDAY
THROUGH MID MORNING HOURS.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
444 AM EDT THU APR 13 2006

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-
020>023-029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-140845-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-
VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-
ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-GREENE-
FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-
PRESTON-TUCKER-
444 AM EDT THU APR 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MARYLAND...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA ON
FRIDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY MOVE THROUGH ON FRIDAY
BRINGING WITH IT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD REACH SEVERE LEVELS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN SEVERE THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
529 PM EDT THU APR 13 2006

PAZ013-020-132230-
BEAVER PA-LAWRENCE PA-
529 PM EDT THU APR 13 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...LAWRENCE AND BEAVER.

AT 527 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN PITTSBURGH
INDICATED A SHORT LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM 2
MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW CASTLE TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW CASTLE TO
11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEW CASTLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

RADAR INDICATES SOME PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO
45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS SHORT LINE OF STORMS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  ELLWOOD CITY AND NEW CASTLE

MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE WHEN THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

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