1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 19, 12:46 PM MST, 3 hours 14 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 246 PM CDT SAT AUG 19 2006 .SHORT TERM... A RICH MONSOONAL FETCH OFF THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC...AUGMENTED SOMEWHAT FROM HRCN HECTOR...CONTINUES OVER THE WESTERN CWFA THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...HESITATE TO CALL IT A FRONT AT THIS TIME...APPEARS TO STRETCH ROUGHLY ALONG A KGDP... KANS...TO KJTN LINE. ISOLATED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE PAST HOUR AND SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST...CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE ELEVATED HEAT SOURCES AND LIKEWISE SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNSET. LASTLY...STARTING TO SEE SOME WEAK RETURNS OVER THE SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN WHERE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL CLUMPS OF CONGESTUS. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON AND TRANSLATE NORTH AS SENSIBLE HEATING NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ACTS FRONTOLYTICALLY AND SURFACE WINDS RESPOND ACCORDINGLY. HOWEVER...MODELS INDICATE THAT A CONSIDERABLE AREA OF CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT OVER THE PANHANDLES. OUTFLOW FROM THIS CONVECTION SHOULD SPREAD SOUTH TONIGHT AND EFFECTIVELY REINFORCE THE AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WITH THE NET RESULT BEING A RENEWED SOUTHWARD PUSH OF THIS FEATURE INTO THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN OVERNIGHT...PERHAPS AS FAR SOUTH AS I-20 BY DAYBREAK. MODELS DO NOT INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT NOCTURNAL LOW LEVEL JET OVERNIGHT...PERHAPS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING WEAK EASTERLY WAVE /IT DOES APPEAR TO HAVE WARM-CORE CHARACTERISTICS/ NOW CROSSING THE SOUTH TEXAS PLAINS. SINCE THERE DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE MUCH IN THE WAY OF ISENTROPIC FORCING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN QUARTER...SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ARE WARRANTED OVER THESE AREAS TONIGHT. WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW BEHIND THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT...HOWEVER...TO MAINTAIN AT LEAST CHANCE POPS ACROSS NORTHWESTERN ZONES OVERNIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CERTAINLY IS POSSIBLE OVER THIS AREA TONIGHT AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN IN THE 3-4CM RANGE WITHIN THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME. THE OVERALL COVERAGE OF THIS CONVECTION...HOWEVER...SUGGESTS A LOW LIKELIHOOD OF A WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOOD THREAT...CONSEQUENTLY A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL NOT BE ISSUED WITH THIS PACKAGE. ELSEWHERE...OVER ROUGHLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWFA...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF SENSIBLE HEATING...AND AS SUCH ONLY LOW ORDER POPS ARE WARRANTED HERE. WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF AIRMASS CHANGE EXPECTED...THE MIN TEMP FORECAST TONIGHT TRENDS STRONGLY TOWARD PERSISTENCE. THE GFS LOOKED LIKE IT DID A BETTER JOB WITH RESPECT TO DEWPOINT INITIALIZATION THIS MORNING...SO A BLEND OF THE GFS AND GFS MOS LOOKS PRUDENT AT THIS END. HOWEVER...THE NAM DID A BETTER JOB IN CAPTURING THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THIS MORNING...THUS ITS SOLUTION IS PREFERRED OVER THE GFS THROUGH 1200 UTC SUNDAY. THE HPC QPF GUIDANCE WAS USED AS A FIRST GUESS...BUT WE DID INCREASE QPF A BIT OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS WEST AND SOUTH THIS EVENING TO ACCOUNT FOR EXPECTED CONVECTION OVER THESE AREAS. .LONG TERM... SUMMER CONTINUING A LOOSE GRIP ON WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLY HOT...ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND AN OCCASIONAL WEAK COLD FRONT WILL KEEP A CHANCES OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST... PARTICULARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. REMNANT OF WEAK FRONT LIKE FEATURE AND LINGERING BOUNDARIES FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL BRING BACK A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE ENHANCED IN THE MOUNTAINS...AIDED BY UPSLOPE FLOW ...AND THE BIG BEND AREA AS AN INVERTED TROUGH ALOFT PASSES SOUTH OF THE AREA. MAINLY AFTERNOON MOUNTAIN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. UPPER HIGH OVER ARKANSAS THIS MORNING EXPECTED TO SHIFT WESTWARD MERGING WITH RIDGE GROWING OVER THE FOUR CORNERS BY TUESDAY. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY BRINGING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA. CANT RULE OUT ISOLATED MOUNTAIN CONVECTION EACH DAY. BY SATURDAY...UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN SOMEWHAT AND MOVES SOUTHWEST BRINGING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AS A RESULT...MAY SEE A FRONT ONCE AGAIN PUSHING INTO THE AREA. KEEPING CHANCES OF RAIN PRETTY LOW FOR NOW DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BIG SPRING TX 71 93 71 94 / 20 30 20 10 CARLSBAD NM 68 91 70 91 / 40 40 30 20 DRYDEN TX 73 94 74 96 / 10 30 0 10 FORT STOCKTON TX 70 91 71 93 / 20 30 10 20 GUADALUPE PASS TX 64 86 66 87 / 40 50 30 30 HOBBS NM 68 90 69 91 / 40 40 30 20 MARFA TX 59 83 61 85 / 40 30 20 20 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 71 92 72 93 / 20 30 20 20 ODESSA TX 72 92 71 93 / 20 30 20 20 WINK TX 72 96 74 97 / 30 30 20 20 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 72/70
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 247 PM CDT SAT AUG 19 2006 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-201200- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 247 PM CDT SAT AUG 19 2006 /147 PM MDT SAT AUG 19 2006/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL STRETCH FROM THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. SLOW MOVEMENT OF THESE STORMS ALONG WITH RAINFALL RATES BETWEEN A HALF INCH AND AN INCH PER HOUR MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF ARROYOS...DRAWS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS...AND OTHER POORLY DRAINED AREAS. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED IN AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 183 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:57 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flash flooding occurred on many roads throughout Eddy County, including County Road 206 which had one foot of water running across it and County Road 39 which had three feet of water running over it, near its crossing with the Rio Penasco.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, August 2006
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5525042.