High Wind in New Mexico, April 6, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
306 AM MDT THU APR 6 2006

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SLIDING EAST ENTERING THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES. THE COLD CORE WILL SKIRT OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF NEW
MEXICO THIS MORNING. SNOW IS ALREADY FALLING IN GALLUP EARLY THIS
MORNING. SNOW SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE WESTERN MTNS TO THE SANGRE DE
CRISTOS. EXPECT ACCUM TO BE LIGHT IN MOST PLACES AND UNDER ADVY
LEVELS...ALTHOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS MAY SEE HIGHER AMOUNTS UNDER A
CONVECTIVE BAND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND OVER THE SAN JUAN MTNS
NEAR THE COLORADO BORDER. WILL KEEP THE WIND ADVY AS IS WITH THE MAIN
JET MOVING EAST OF THE WESTERN MTNS AND RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY MID
MORNING. STRONGEST WIND SPEEDS LOOK TO BE ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF
THE CENTRAL MTNS AND OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH WILL REACH THE HIGH
END OF ADVY CRITERIA. ADDITIONAL SMALLER JETS MOVE OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL PLAINS THRU THE EVENING ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE MAIN TROF. RH
VALUES WILL REMAIN CRITICAL OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY. INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY
ALONG THE CO BORDER TONIGHT AND ALSO FAR NORTHEAST FRIDAY AS THERE IS
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF WRAP AROUND PRECIP. BOTH GFS AND NAM HAVE A
REINFORCING S/W SPIN AROUND THE LOW AFTER THE MAIN AXIS EXITS NM.
EXPECT COLDER AIR BEHIND THIS S/W AS AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SLIDES
SOUTH ALONG THE EASTERN PLAINS. WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY TO WINDY
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SFC BOUNDARY. A RIDGE BUILDS OVER NM DURING THE
WEEKEND LIMITING PRECIP AND WINDS. A FEW WEAK S/WS TRACK THRU THE
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT STARTING MONDAY. THE NEXT LARGE TROF WILL
DIG OVER CA AND TRACK EAST REACHING NM LATE WED AND THU OF NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  54  33  65  36 /  30  20   0   0
GALLUP..........................  55  23  65  25 /  20   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  55  25  67  30 /  10   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  63  28  75  32 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  45  24  60  25 /  60  20   5   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  52  32  66  36 /  30   5   5   0
RED RIVER.......................  40  20  57  22 /  40  20  10   0
TAOS............................  48  23  60  27 /  20  10   0   0
SANTA FE........................  53  30  62  35 /  20   5   5   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  57  31  64  34 /  10   5   5   0
ESPANOLA........................  58  29  66  31 /  30   5   5   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  62  39  69  43 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  64  35  71  38 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  57  37  66  39 /   5   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  62  37  71  38 /   5   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  64  39  74  40 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  52  30  62  31 /  10   0   0   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  59  32  64  30 /   5   0   5   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  64  38  69  39 /   5   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  60  37  63  35 /   5   0   0   0
RATON...........................  57  28  57  28 /  10  10  10   0
LAS VEGAS.......................  56  31  61  30 /  10   5   0   0
ROY.............................  60  36  61  33 /   5   0   5   0
CLAYTON.........................  66  36  59  31 /   5  10  10   0
SANTA ROSA......................  66  38  66  34 /   5   0   0   0
TUCUMCARI.......................  70  41  66  36 /   5   0   5   0
FORT SUMNER.....................  70  42  69  38 /   5   0   0   0
CLOVIS..........................  72  40  66  36 /   0   0   0   0
PORTALES........................  73  44  73  34 /   0   0   0   0
ROSWELL.........................  76  45  74  43 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
NMZ004-NMZ005-NMZ006-NMZ007-NMZ010-NMZ011-NMZ012-NMZ013-
NMZ016- NMZ017-NMZ018-NMZ019-NMZ020-NMZ021-NMZ026.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
NMZ104-NMZ106-NMZ107-NMZ108.

&&

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
544 AM MDT THU APR 6 2006

NMZ001>021-026-071200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-HARDING COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-QUAY COUNTY-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
544 AM MDT THU APR 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

STRONG WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FROM AND INCLUDING THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN EAST TO THE TEXAS BORDER.
A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA FROM 8 AM THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM TONIGHT.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS...ESTANCIA VALLEY AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WHERE LOW HUMIDITIES COMBINED
WITH STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...WEATHER CAN
CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND
WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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