Damaging Wind in North Carolina, July 7, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
249 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...
ACTIVE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CINDY CONTINUED OVER
THE EASTERN PART OF THE CWA AT MID AFTERNOON. A STRONG WIND SHEAR
PROFILE CONTINUED TO GENERATE TORNADIC SIGNATURES ALONG CONVECTIVE
BANDS ON THE RADAR...WHILE BANDS OF HEAVY RAINSHOWERS CONTINUED
TO GENERATE IN DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE. AS THE SYSTEM TRANSLATES E
THIS EVENING THE SEVERE STORM THREAT WILL DIMINISH...ALONG WITH
THE HEAVY RAIN. THE TORNADO WATCH IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 4 PM EDT.
THE FLOOD WATCH RUNS UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW MORNING SINCE AREAS THAT
RECEIVED...OR WILL RECEIVE HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE
FLOOD PROBLEMS AS RAINFALL DRAINS INTO STREAMS AND CREEKS THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS.

AS THE UPPER SYSTEM AND SURFACE BOUNDARY PUSH E LATE TONIGHT...HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA FRI INTO SAT...FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF
RECOVERY BEFORE HURRICANE DENNIS APPROACHES THE GULF COAST AND
MAKES LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA SUNDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
ALTHOUGH THE TRACK OF DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO STAY WELL W OF THE
AREA...TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO STREAM UP ACROSS THE REGION
FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. HAVE LIMITED EXTENDED POPS AND QPF
DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF EVENTUAL TRACK AND STRENGTH OF
STORM...OTHERWISE HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE USING THE
GFS...WHICH IS COMBINED WITH THE LATEST NHC TRACK. LATEST FORECAST
HAS DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG GULF COAST VCNTY OF WHERE CINDY HIT
SUN AFTN-EVE AND TRACKING NW INTO N MS MON...INTO FAR SE KS TUE. THIS
TRACK WOULD KEEP DEEPEST TROPICAL MOISTURE AND BEST TORNADO THREAT
W OF CWA. THE SYSTEM WILL TURN E AT SOME POINT HOWEVER AND TRACK N
OF THE AREA. WITH UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE...LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW
AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE...HAVE CHANCE POPS IN THE GRIDS THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
AS THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF THE REMNANTS OF CINDY CONTINUE TO
MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT WILL OCCUR FROM THE
SOUTHWEST.  LOW CIGS WILL HANG ON FOR THE NC TAFS THROUGH THE
NIGHT.  THERE MAY BE SOME BREAKS IN SC LATE TONIGHT.  THE SKY WILL
BECOME SCT FOR ALL TAFS AS WE GO INTO THE LATE MORNING TO MID DAY ON
FRIDAY.  THE MOST SIGNIFICANT NORTH TO SOUTH RAIN BAND WILL LEAVE
HKY TO THE EAST THIS AFTN AND SHOULD BE MOVING EAST FROM CLT BY
EARLY EVENING. GUSTY S-SW WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVE AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES E.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ034>036-054>056-065>070 UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
SC...FLOOD WATCH FOR SCZ001>008-010 UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY.
&&

SHORT TERM...RB
LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...DEO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-
SCZ001>014-019-081015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-CALDWELL-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-MCDOWELL-BURKE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-POLK-RUTHERFORD-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
607 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS TODAY. RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS TO 1 TO 4
INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. THIS RAINFALL COULD
RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES. THROUGH LATE THIS
EVENING...A FEW STORMS EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS MAY PRODUCE
DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
HURRICANE DENNIS WILL APPROACH THE GULF COAST STATES THIS
WEEKEND...AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ON SUNDAY. AS DENNIS
APPROACHES...A SLOW MOVING FRONT SHOULD SLIDE WEST OVER THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS. THIS FRONT SHOULD TRIGGER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE SATURDAY THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
101 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     3 NE HICKORY            35.77N 81.29W
07/07/2005                   CATAWBA            NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED NEAR SECTION HOUSE ROAD AND 4TH
            AVENUE.

&&

BURRUS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
146 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MAIDEN                  35.58N 81.21W
07/07/2005                   CATAWBA            NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN MAIDEN. ESPECIALLY HARD HIT WERE
            BURNT LEAF ROAD AND BUD ARNDT ROAD.

&&

BURRUS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
158 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     TORNADO          MILLERSVILLE            35.86N 81.18W
07/07/2005                   ALEXANDER          NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN MILLERSVILLE AND
            WITTENBURG. ALSO MOBILE HOMES TURNED OVER ALONG HWY 16
            SOUTH OF TAYLORSVILLE IN WITTENBURG.

0130 PM     TORNADO          MILLERSVILLE            35.86N 81.18W
07/07/2005                   ALEXANDER          NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ROOF OFF A HOME AND ANOTHER HOME DESTROYED IN THE
            MILLERSVILLE COMMUNITY ALONG HWY 16.

&&

TJB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
215 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

NCZ069>072-082-SCZ009-014-072000-
CABARRUS-CHESTER-GASTON-LINCOLN NC-MECKLENBURG-UNION NC-YORK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CHESTER...CONCORD...GASTONIA...
LINCOLNTON...MONROE...ROCK HILL
215 PM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THE CHARLOTTE
METRO AREA THROUGH 5 PM...

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST AT 20 MPH ACROSS
THE PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO
35 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AT
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR.

CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS TO
PRODUCE TORNADOES AT ANY TIME. BE PREPARED TO SEEK SHELTER IN AN
INTERIOR ROOM OF A SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURE IF ANY TORNADO WARNINGS
ARE ISSUED...OR A TORNADO IS OBSERVED.

HG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
218 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 AM     TORNADO          10 W ANDERSON           34.52N 82.82W
07/07/2005                   ANDERSON           SC   NEWSPAPER

            POSSIBLE TORNADO WITH BOATS DAMAGED AND ONE TOSSED 100
            YDS AT WESTERN CAROLINA SAILING CLUB OFF OF SR 187 ON
            LAKE HARTWELL.

&&

TJB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
307 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N HARMONY             35.99N 80.77W
07/07/2005                   IREDELL            NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WIND DAMAGE/PSBLE TORNADO WITH TREES DOWN IN THE ROAD ON
            HWY 21 NORTH OF HARMONY. ALSO TREES DOWN ON HWY 901 NEAR
            HARMONY.

0225 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 N STATESVILLE         35.86N 80.89W
07/07/2005                   IREDELL            NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWN ALONG I-77 FROM EXIT 54 NORTH TO THE COUNTY
            LINE. FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED EARLIER ON HWY 901 AND
            TAYLORSBURG ROAD AREA IN THE NORTH PART OF COUNTY.

&&

TJB