Missouri, 2005

Flood in Missouri, June 13 to 14, 2005

June 13 to 14, 2005 · NWS EAX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 13, 8:00 AM CST, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 13, 8:00 AM CST, 2 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
900 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

.DISCUSSION...

HAVE PULLED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK TO THE WEST FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AS VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SCATTERED CONVECTION OCCURRING
ACROSS CENTRAL KS IN VICINITY OF MID/UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX. LEFT
FRONT QUADRANT OF THIS FEATURE WILL TRANSLATE NORTHEAST ACROSS
NORTHEAST KS AND INTO NORTHWEST MO AROUND 18Z SO WILL NEED TO
MONITOR FOR RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN CWA. ALSO ADJUSTED GRIDS FOR CURRENT
WEATHER.

MJ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
730 AM...
THE FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR A LARGE PORTION OF NORTHEAST
KANSAS AND NORTHERN MISSOURI. RUC ANALYSIS OF THE 850 MB WINDS AND
THETA-E SUGGEST NEUTRAL TO DRY ADVECTION OVER THE NORTHWEST CORNER
OF MISSOURI. IT LOOKS LIKE THE DRY SLOT OF THE UPPER LOW IS ALREADY
MOVING INTO THIS PART OF THE STATE.

FURTHER SOUTH, STORMS HAVE FORMED IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS ON THE NOSE OF
THE THETA-E RIDGE. THEY ARE TRACKING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
SOME COUNTIES SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER HAVE EXCEPTIONALLY LOW
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE, SO I HESITATE TO TAKE THE FLOOD WATCH DOWN
WITH STORMS TRACKING THROUGH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

KOCH

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...

425 AM...
A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES IS
DIGGING TO FORM A CUT OFF LOW OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA THIS MORNING. A
COUPLE OF VORTICITY LOBES CAN BE DETECTED IN THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
DIVING AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH THIS MORNING. THE FIRST
IS MAKING ITS WAY INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND IS AIDING THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SOME WEAK THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TOWARD THE KANSAS MISSOURI BORDER.
INSTABILITY IS MINIMAL AT THIS HOUR DUE TO SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
STRONGER CONVECTION LAST EVENING OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN
MISSOURI. A SECOND MORE POTENT VORTICITY MAX IS TRAVERSING ACROSS
COLORADO AND WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. CLEARING OVER CENTRAL KANSAS MOVING THIS WAY SUGGESTS
THAT NORTHERN MISSOURI WILL HAVE SEVERAL HOURS OF STRONG HEATING
LATE THIS MORNING. HIGH AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY ARE LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE CAP. SHEAR PROFILES WILL INCREASE AS THE
COLORADO VORTICITY MAX ARRIVES THIS AFTERNOON. 500MB WINDS BETWEEN
55 AND 65 KNOTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES OF 60 TO 70
KNOTS BY MID AFTERNOON OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI. I
ANTICIPATE THAT STORMS WILL IGNITE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND QUICKLY BECOME SUPERCELLS. VERY LARGE
HAIL, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE
PROJECTED INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PROFILES FROM THE NAM.

I HAVE ELECTED TO HOLD ONTO THE FLOOD WATCH THROUGH NOON SINCE FLASH
FLOOD GUIDANCE IS SO LOW OVER MANY OF THE COUNTIES IN WESTERN
MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS. ACCORDING TO FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE, A
QUICK THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH WILL CAUSE PROBLEMS. CURRENT RADAR
TRENDS INDICATE THAT WE WILL NOT GET THAT THIS MORNING, BUT MODEST
850 MB THETA-E ADVECTION OVER EASTERN KANSAS MAY GENERATE SOME
STRONGER CELLS THIS MORNING. STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY BE
FAST MOVERS, OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI SO I AM NOT
ANTICIPATING A SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOOD THREAT LATER IN THE DAY. IF
RADAR TRENDS CONTINUE TO SHOW WEAK CONVECTION BY 7 OR 8 AM. I MAY
CANCEL SOME OR ALL OF THE FLOOD WATCH.

KOCH

&&

425 PM SUN
BUSY DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER MOVING INTO AREA.  SHORT STORY...FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. LARGE AREA OF
STORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR KANSAS CITY...SOUTH INTO NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
WILL PRODUCE SEVERE STORMS AND HEAVY RAINS THIS EVENING AS THEY MOVE
NORTHEAST. A SECOND WAVE IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH DEVELOPING
CONVECTION SEEN IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA. THEN ANOTHER ROUND SHOULD BE
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST MONDAY MORNING ASSOCIATED WITH MAIN UPPER
WAVE. MAY SEE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON IN
SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF FORECAST AREA IN THE EVENING WITH UPPER WAVE
AND SURFACE BOUNDARY STILL IN THE REGION.  ONCE THIS MOVES
PAST...FINALLY...SHOULD GET A BREAK FROM THE STORY WEATHER.

PC

&&

1222 PM SUN
SOME ADJUSTMENT TO THE FORECAST FOR THE AFTERNOON HORUS. STORMS FROM
THE FIST COMPLEX THIS MORNING ARE NOW JUST ABOUT TO EXIT THE CWA
INTO CENTRAL IOWA. CONVECTION TO OUR WEST...IN CENTRAL KANSAS...HAS
BEGUN TO ERODE ON ITS EAST SIDE AS IT APPEARS TO BE RUNNING INTO
SUBSIDENCE LEFT IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING COMPLEX. SO...I HAVE
PULLED THE LIKELY POPS FROM THE WEST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA FOR
THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH THE SOLAR INSULATION THAT WILL SPREAD
NORTH ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI AS THE CLOUDS
DISSIPATE I HAVE LEFT HIGH CHANCE (50%) POPS ACROSS THE KANSAS
MISSOURI BORDER. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS ALSO MADE TO TEMPERATURES...
PUSHING THEM DOWN IN THE NORTHWEST CORNER...AND LIFTING THEM IN THE
SOUTHEAST.

CUTTER

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH NOON ZONES 032,033,039,040,043-046,053,054.
KS...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH NOON ZONES 057,060.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 13, 5:02 AM CST, 4 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
602 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-141100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-
SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-
CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-
JOHNSON-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
602 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF MISSOURI
THIS AFTERNOON...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF MISSOURI THIS MORNING. THE GROUND IS SATURATED OVER MUCH
OF THE REGION, SO AS LITTLE AS THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN
COULD CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS THIS MORNING.

CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY MID MORNING AND THE ATMOSPHERE
OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI WILL BECOME VERY
UNSTABLE. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL IGNITE STORMS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AND STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE
RAPIDLY. LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR VIOLENT STORMS THIS AFTERNOON IS EAST OF A
LINE FROM BETHANY TO EXCELSIOR SPRINGS TO HARRISONVILLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AS EARLY AS 1 PM OR 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MISSOURI.

KOCH

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Henry

When
June 13, 10:00 AM CST to June 14, 6:00 AM CST
Where
Henry forecast zone
Reported by
OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
Coordinates
38.385, -93.793 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The South Grand River near Urich crested at 25.60 feet, or 1.60 feet above flood stage.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2005Every state in 2005This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, June 2005

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5459408.