High Wind in North Carolina, December 1 to 2, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
308 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FORECAST AREA QUICKLY THIS
MORNING...TAKING RAIN SHOWERS WITH IT. NEW ETA AND GFS NOW IN
REASONABLE AGREEMENT. BOTH MODELS SHOW AN H85 50KT WIND MAX MOVG
THRU NOW WITH SFC WINDS PICKING UP ACROSS THE AREA. COLD ADVECTION
COMING IN BEHIND THE TROF...6MB+ PRESSURE RISES WITH TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO BOOST SFC WIND SPEEDS...ESP OVER MTNS. A
WIND WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE NC N MTNS...WITH A WIND ADVISORY
FOR THE REST OF THE MTNS AND NC FOOTHILLS THROUGH NOON. ONCE SYSTEM
THROUGH...SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS WITH
NEAR AVG TEMPERATURES.
&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
A MID LEVEL TROF BRUSHES N ZONES THU NIGHT INTO EARLY FRI...THEN
AGAIN SAT...BUT IT APPEARS MOISTURE WILL BE LACKING. ONCE THE TROF
MOVES THRU...AREA REMAINS BETWEEN N AND S STREAMS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH TEMPS STAYING NEAR SEASONAL AVGS. NEXT POTENTIAL
PRECIP PRODUCING S STREAM SHORTWAVE APPROACHES FROM THE W ON SUN
NIGHT INTO MON AND CURRENT CHANCE POPS IN FORECAST GRIDS LOOK GOOD.
&&

.AVIATION...
FRONTAL BAND IS MOVING ACROSS THE CWFA AT 60 TO 70 MPH ATTM. PERIODS
OF MVFR CONDITIONS WILL ACCOMPANY THE PRECIP AT KCLT THROUGH ABOUT
10Z. THE LARGER CONCERN WILL BE WITH WIND...AS THE FRONT APPEARS TO
BE ADVANCING RAPIDLY ACROSS GEORGIA AT THIS TIME. IN FACT...METARS
WEST OF THE CWFA (I.E. KGVL) ARE ALREADY GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 25 KTS
OUT OF THE WEST. WILL CONSIDER AMENDING TAFS SHORTLY TO ADVERTISE AN
EARLIER ARRIVAL OF GUSTY WINDS. WEST AND NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD GUST
WELL INTO THE 20S AT NON-MOUNTAIN SITES FOR MOST OF THE DAY...WITH
30 KNOTS OR MORE LIKELY AT KAVL. WIND SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH THIS
EVENING.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONES GAZ010-017 UNTIL NOON.
NC...WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONES NCZ034-048-051>055-058-059-
     062>067 UNTIL NOON.
  ...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR ZONES NCZ033-049-050 UNTIL NOON.
SC...WIND ADVISORY FOR ZONES SCZ001>003 UNTIL NOON.
&&

SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...RB
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
423 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-021000-
ABBEVILLE SC-ALEXANDER NC-ANDERSON SC-AVERY NC-BUNCOMBE NC-BURKE NC-
CABARRUS NC-CALDWELL NC-CATAWBA NC-CHEROKEE SC-CHESTER SC-
CLEVELAND NC-DAVIE NC-ELBERT GA-FRANKLIN GA-GASTON NC-GRAHAM NC-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREATER OCONEE SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-GREENWOOD SC-HABERSHAM GA-HART GA-HAYWOOD NC-
HENDERSON NC-IREDELL NC-LAURENS SC-LINCOLN NC-MACON NC-MADISON NC-
MCDOWELL NC-MECKLENBURG NC-MITCHELL NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-POLK NC-RABUN GA-ROWAN NC-
RUTHERFORD NC-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-SPARTANBURG SC-STEPHENS GA-
SWAIN NC-TRANSYLVANIA NC-UNION SC-UNION NC-YANCEY NC-YORK SC-
423 AM EST WED DEC 1 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...

STRONG GUSTY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING. SOME DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.