1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 26, 3:20 PM EST, 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 420 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 .DISCUSSION... SFC FEATURES HAVE LOW PRESSURE RIDING UP WESTERN SPINE OF APPALACHIANS...WITH TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS CNTRL KY AND TN. LARGE SWATH OF SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG AND EAST OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LIGHTER SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND SYSTEM...SUPPORTED BY UPPER LEVEL LOW...TROUGH MOVING INTO THE MIDWEST TOWARDS THE OHIO VALLEY. BOTH ETA AND GFS INITIALIZED WELL AND BOTH MODELS DID WELL WITH 18Z VERIFICATION. OVERALL...WOUND UP LEANING TOWARDS GFS AS IT HAS BEEN A BIT MORE CONSISTENT. INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH...BOTH MODELS HANDLE UPPER LEVEL FEATURE SIMILARLY THROUGH FIRST SEVERAL PERIODS. GOOD AGREEMENT IN UPPER LEVEL FEATURES PUTS SOUTHEASTERN ZONES IN AREA OF SPECIAL CONCERN AS AREA OF HEAVY RAIN SHOULD DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. GOOD UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH RRQ OF JET OVER THAT AREA. SFC BOUNDARY ALSO OVER THAT AREA...AND THERE IS A HINT OF A SMALL LLJ...AROUND 20KTS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DECENT LL CONVERGENCE. FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW DECENT INSTABILITY AND PWS AROUND 1.7 INCHES. HAVE LOW LCL AND FREEZING LEVEL IS HIGH. WITH DEEP LAYER OF MOISTURE IN PLACE...INGREDIENTS ARE ALL THERE FOR SOME HEAVY RAIN. CONSIDERED FFA FOR THOSE AREAS SEEING RAIN NOW AND THOSE AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...WHILE CURRENT ACTIVITY IS MOVING OVER AREAS THAT HAVE SEEN THE MOST RAIN...THERE IS A DEFINITE MOVEMENT OF THE LINE TO THE EAST IN RESPONSE TO THE UPPER LEVEL LOW...NOW MOVING MORE QUICKLY PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. ALSO...OVERALL COVERAGE IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT AND AREAS TO THE SOUTHEAST HAVE SEEN LITTLE IF ANY RAIN THUS FAR WITH FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE STILL RELATIVELY HIGH. SO ULTIMATELY DECIDED TO JUST MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE ZONES...AND THE HWO FOR NOW. BUT EVENING SHIFT SHOULD KEEP FFA IN MIND...AND IF EVENING PRECIP REPORTS SHOW EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TOTALS...AN FFA WOULD PROBABLY BE A GOOD IDEA. STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS AS THERE WAS GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT. WENT SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN MAV GUIDANCE FOR DAILY HIGHS AS IT SEEMS TOO LOW IN THE COOLER...NORTHWEST FLOW SCENARIO. LONG TERM...NOT MUCH TO CHANGE. MODELS VERY CONSISTENT THROUGH THE 7 DAY PERIOD. DID ADJUST TEMPS UP A BIT FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS MODELS HINT AT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER RATE...THUS ALLOWING MOISTURE AND HEAT TO RETURN A BIT QUICKER WITH RETURN FLOW. PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS... 1104 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 NEARLY OVC SKY WILL KEEP TEMPS DEPRESSED TODAY. NOT MUCH CHC FOR MORE THAN 2-3 DEG OF HEATING. SOUNDINGS NOT IMPRESSIVE...WITH LIMITED INSTABILITY AND VERY LOW CAPE. SHRA ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD BUT TSRA WILL BE LIMITED AND +TS SHOULD BE NON-EXISTENT. SUFFICIENT MIXING HAS OCCURRED TO ELIMINATE FOG AND WILL REMOVE FROM ZONE FCST. REST OF FCST LOOKS GOOD AND COULD SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE. 524 AM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE LOW TO THE EAST OF JKL WITH INVERTED TROF EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL TENNESSEE NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN PA. GFS AND ETA MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ONCE AGAIN...ON THE SFC AND ALOFT. PREVIOUS FORECAST WAS IN EXCELLENT SHAPE...SO ONLY MADE A FEW TIMING ADJUSTMENTS TO END PRECIP EARLIER ON TUESDAY AND TWEAKED THE TEMP GRIDS DOWN A DEGREE OR TWO FOR TODAY. FOR POPS TODAY...WENT CATEGORICAL ACROSS THE BOARD...AFTER A BRIEF LULL THIS MORNING...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP...WITH THE SFC TROF SLOWLY PROGRESSING THROUGH THE CWA COMBINED WITH DIVERGENCE ALOFT. WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND ONLY WEAK INSTABILITY WILL ONCE AGAIN HIGHLIGHT THE CHANCE OF ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IN THE HWO...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN TODAY EXPECTED IN THE FAR SERN AREAS OF THE CWA. THE HEAVIEST SWATH OF RAIN YESTERDAY FELL ACROSS CENTRAL AREAS OF THE CWA. TUESDAY...WENT WITH A BLEND OF GFS/ETA. ENDED POPS FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND H5 TROF PULLS OFF TO THE NE. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON WEDNESDAY. FOR TEMPS...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER TEMPERATURES WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TODAY. GENERALLY STAYED CLOSE TO THE MAV NUMBERS FOR THE SHORT TERM. TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORKWEEK AND RETURN TO NEAR NORMAL HIGHS FOR THE END OF JULY. && .JKL...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && RAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 439 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-271100- BATH KY-BELL KY-BREATHITT KY-CLAY KY-ELLIOTT KY-ESTILL KY-FLEMING KY- FLOYD KY-HARLAN KY-JACKSON KY-JOHNSON KY-KNOTT KY-KNOX KY-LAUREL KY- LEE KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MARTIN KY-MCCREARY KY- MENIFEE KY-MONTGOMERY KY-MORGAN KY-OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-PIKE KY- POWELL KY-PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-ROWAN KY-WAYNE KY-WHITLEY KY- WOLFE KY- 439 PM EDT MON JUL 26 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. SOME STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN YESTERDAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO IN THE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS. RAY
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 64 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:41 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Two to three feet of water was across the road at the junction of Highways 421 and 30.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5417470.