Alaska, 2004

High Wind in Alaska, November 13 to 14, 2004

November 13 to 14, 2004 · NWS AJK · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

High wind gusts were measured along the Outer Coast and in the Metlakatla area (54 knots).

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AJK wrote it up.

High wind gusts were measured along the Outer Coast and in the Metlakatla area (54 knots).

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 13, 10:45 AM AST, 9 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 13, 10:45 AM AST, 9 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
1045 AM AST SAT NOV 13 2004

.SHORT RANGE...MODELS HAVE FAIRLY SIMILAR TRACK ON DEEPENING
STORM ROLLING UP ALONG OUTER COAST PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN BUT
STILL DIFFER ON MAX DEPTH. WILL STICK WITH LOW CENTER AROUND
970MB OFF DIXON ENTRANCE 12Z SUN..THEN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES
NORTH AND ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHERN ZONES WILL REMAIN UNDER HIGHWIND WATCH WITH UPGRADE
TO WARNING PROBABLE IN AFTERNOON PACKAGE. WARNING FOR ZONE23
LOOKING LESS LIKELY AS LOW WEAKENS RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTH.

ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS OVER ZONES 27/28 SHOULD BE DIMINISHING SOME
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BUT REMAINING WINDY. VERY LITTLE BREAK IN
PRECIP EXPECTED FOR THE PANHANDLE BETWEEN FRONT MOVING OVER THE
AREA THIS MORNING AND NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH.
LOTS OF PRECIP EXPECTED FOR SUN WITH LESSER AMOUNTS CONTINUING
SUN NIGHT AS LOW SLOWLY FILLS ONSHORE. EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
EASTERN GULF COAST. AS DEEPENING LOW MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
GULF THE FLOW OVER THE PAYA ZONE WILL BECOME MORE E-EN AND DRIER.
PRECIP STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH TROUGH ROTATING
AROUND MAIN LOW CENTER OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...THEN DRYING OUT
OVERNIGHT. MAINLY SCT-BKN HIGHER CLOUDS FOR SUN.

ONLY OTHER POTENTIAL PROBLEM IS SNOW LEVEL OVER PAHN/PAGY ZONES
AS INCREASING NORTH WINDS BRING COOLER DRIER AIR DOWN OVER THE
AREA. WITH ALL THE WARMING TODAY THINK SNOW WILL STAY ABOVE SEA
LEVEL BUT LOWERING TO 500-1000 FEET OVERNIGHT. SNOW AMOUNTS OVER
THE ROADS LEADING NORTH NOT EXPECTED TO BE TOO HIGH AS HEAVIER
PRECIP AMOUNTS STAY MORE OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES OF
THE PANHANDLE.

STORM ROLLING UP ALONG OUTER COAST PANHANDLE THROUGH SUN BUT
STILL DIFFER ON MAX DEPTH. WILL STICK WITH LOW CENTER AROUND
970MB OFF DIXON ENTRANCE 12Z SUN...THEN WEAKENING AS IT MOVES
NORTH AND ONSHORE OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHERN ZONES WILL REMAIN UNDER HIGH WIND WATCH WITH UPGRADE
TO WARNING PROBABLE IN AFTERNOON PACKAGE. WARNING FOR ZONE23
LOOKING LESS LIKELY AS LOW WEAKENS RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTH.

ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS OVER ZONES 27/28 SHOULD BE DIMINISHING SOME
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BUT REMAINING WINDY. VERY LITTLE BREAK IN
PRECIP EXPECTED FOR THE PANHANDLE BETWEEN FRONT MOVING OVER THE
AREA THIS MORNING AND NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH.

.LONG RANGE...A WEAK WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEAST
ALASKA LATE MONDAY. THIS FRONT WILL KEEP THE WINDS NEAR SMALL
CRAFT CRITERIA AND PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN. A UPPER LEVEL TROF FROM
THE BERING WILL SWING INTO THE GULF AS THE SURFACE FRONT LIFTS
INTO CANADA. THERE IS A LOT OF COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT SO THE
PANHANDLE WILL CONTINUE TO GET COLDER AND COLDER THROUGH WEEK.

AS THE TROF AXIS SWINGS INTO THE NORTHERN GULF A SURFACE LOW WILL
FORM NEAR SOUTH OF KENIA PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN AND REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS
WILL KEEP SOUTHEAST ALASKA IN SOUTHWEST FLOW AND SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION. THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA WILL BEGIN TO SEE THE SHOWERS BECOME MIXED WITH
SNOW TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND BY THAT NIGHT MOST NORTHERN AREAS WILL
BE ALL SNOW. THE SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED ON WEDNESDAY
AS A WEAK UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE FORECAST AREA AS A
UPPER TROF MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF. THE TROF WILL LIFT OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND COULD ENHANCE THE
SHOWERS BUT BY DAY BREAK IT WILL HAVE MOVED INTO CANADA.

THURSDAY WILL BE A TRANSITION DAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF BY
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FRONTAL SYSTEM RIGHT NOW IS FORECASTED TO
MOVE ALONG THE OUTER COAST BY 12Z THURSDAY WITH VERY STRONG
WINDS. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH INTO SOUTHERN YUKON THROUGH FRIDAY
THE FRONT WILL LIFT THROUGH THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE. THE PRECIP
WILL START AS SNOW FOR THE AREAS CLOSER TO THE INTERIOR BUT AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH ALL AREAS SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTH AND BRING
IN THE WARM AIR.

.AJK...WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH ZONES 27 28 BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT.
         HIGH WIND WATCH ZONE 23 SUNDAY.
MARINE...STORM...035 036 041 042 SAT NIGHT/SUN
         GALE...021 022 031-34 043 SUN.
         SCA...REMAINDER MARINE ZONES.

PES / ABJ

Event by event

3 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area

When
November 13, 8:30 PM AST to November 14, 9:30 PM AST
Where
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

High Wind, Southern Inner Channels

When
November 14, 3:15 AM AST to 4:15 AM AST
Where
Southern Inner Channels forecast zone
Measured
52 kt (60 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

High Wind, Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area

When
November 14, 11:00 AM AST to 1:00 PM AST
Where
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area forecast zone
Measured
54 kt (62 mph) measured gust
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, November 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5425464, 5425463, 5425462.