Oklahoma, 2003

Flash Flood in Oklahoma, October 9, 2003

October 9, 2003 · NWS TSA · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 9, 2:15 AM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 2:15 AM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
315 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003

LARGE AREA OF RAIN MOVING ACROSS THE FA THIS MORNING IN ASSOCIATION
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A 25-35 KT LOW LEVEL JET. SOME
EMBEDDED CONVECTION HAS RESULTED IN VERY HEAVY RAINFALL JUST WEST
AND NORTH OF THE AREA. REFLECTIVITY OVER ERN OK HAS BEEN INDICATIVE
OF MOSTLY MODERATE RAIN WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF THUNDER.
PRECIP SHIELD MOVING A LITTLE FASTER THAN WHAT MODELS INDICATE...AND
SO FAR DONT SEE MUCH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OVER WRN OK. PLAN ON
KEEPING HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE EASTERN ZONES TODAY AND TAPER THEM
OFF FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON. MAY LEAVE AN EARLY EVENING
MENTION OF RAIN ACROSS FAR ERN ZONES...BUT WILL TRY TO GET PEEK AT
06Z ETA FIRST. AGREE WITH MOS THAT CLOUDS LOOK TO HANG TOUGH THROUGH
TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME PATCHY FOG TONIGHT,,,BUT CLOUD COVER WILL
LIKELY LIMIT EXTENT OF FOG SO WILL LEAVE OUT OF ZONES FOR NOW. NEXT
CHANCE FOR RAIN COMES SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTH. MOISTURE DEPTH REMAINS A QUESTION WITH FROPA. WILL GO AHEAD
AND KEEP POPS IN SATURDAY BUT TRIM BACK TO SLIGHT CHC. REST OF
FORECAST WILL BE LEFT PRETTY MUCH AS IS...THOUGH LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED
TO ASSESS RAIN CHANCES IN THE MONDAY/TUESDAY TIMEFRAME OF NEXT
WEEK.

PRELIM NUMBERS:

TUL    73   61   81   63 /  50   10   10   10
FSM    70   62   82   61 /  80   10   10   10
MLC    74   63   82   63 /  40   10   10   10
BVO    73   58   80   61 /  50   10   10   10
FYV    67   57   78   59 /  80   10   10   10
BYV    68   57   77   59 /  80   10   10   10
MKO    73   60   81   61 /  70   10   10   10
MIO    71   58   79   60 /  80   10   10   10
F10    74   62   81   63 /  50   10   10   10
HHW    75   64   83   64 /  40   10   10   10

FORECAST ID= 23

.TSA...
AR...NONE.
OK...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 9, 5:10 AM CST, 50 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
610 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...A FEW MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. FORECAST
WIND PROFILES ARE SUPPORTIVE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE
REMAINDER OF THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR
WILL BE A LACK OF SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY. CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY...ALTHOUGH A FEW BREAKS MAY
OCCUR OVER PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR AS WELL...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO
3 INCHES OF RAIN LIKELY ACROSS PARTS WESTERN ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SATURDAY...BRING A SMALL
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED BY
TUESDAY...WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AT THAT TIME.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...BUT EMERGENCY
MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 9, 2:13 AM CST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
OKZ054-090915-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
313 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     OSAGE

AT 313 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF BIGHEART TO 15 MILES NORTHWEST
OF HOMINY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PAWHUSKA...HOMINY...AVANT...
WYNONA...WOLCO...BARNSDALL...PERSHING...TALLANT...NELAGONEY...
OKESA...BIGHEART AND HULAH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
Special weather statement, Oct 9, 4:14 AM CST, 1 hour 46 minutes before
OKZ070-091115-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 AM CDT THU OCT 9 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 615 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     MUSKOGEE

AT 514 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES EAST OF HASKELL TO 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BOYNTON...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PUMPKIN CENTER...KEEFETON...MUSKOGEE...
OKTAHA...WAINWRIGHT...BOYNTON...SUMMIT...BRAGGS...JAMESVILLE...
TAFT...FORT GIBSON AND HASKELL.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 79 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 11:58 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Creek

When
October 9, 6:00 AM CST to 7:00 AM CST
Where
Creek County, 8 mi S of Kellyville
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
35.903, -96.371 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy thunderstorm rains in excess of three inches caused water from a stream to overflow a road. The water apparently caused two cars to be swept off the road and into a ditch.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Oklahoma in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, October 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5371266.