1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 13, 1:25 AM CST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 225 AM CDT FRI JUN 13 2003 MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PACKAGE ANALYZED SURFACE CHART AT MIDNIGHT DEPICTED A STATIONARY FRONT FROM CENTRAL MO NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS THEN EAST INTO NORTHERN OHIO. A WEAK SURFACE LOW WAS POSITIONED NEAR KCOU WITH A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHCENTRAL TEXAS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS MO/AR AND A SECONDARY ONE OVER NORTHWEST MO. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH OF THESE. THE NGM AND ETA DID THE BEST AT 00Z IN INITIALIZING BOTH OF THESE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS VIA THE VORTICITY FIELDS...HOWEVER BY 06Z ALL THE MODELS AVERAGE BOTH OF THESE INTO ONE VORTICITY MAXIMUM WITH THE TIGHTEST SPIN OVER WESTCENTRAL MO WITH AN ELONGATED VORTICITY AXIS EXTENDING INTO SOUTHEAST MO. VISUALLY THIS LOOKS FAIRLY CLOSE TO WHAT IS HAPPENING PER THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. OF THE GFS/ETA/NGM...THE NGM LOOKS TO BE DOING THE BEST CONCERNING THE TIMING OF THIS FEATURE. THE GFS/ETA APPEAR TO BE A LITTLE TOO SLOW AT 06Z. FOR TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WILL FOLLOW MORE CLOSELY TO THE NGM OUTPUT. ONE ELEMENT THAT ALL THE MODELS ARE MISSING IS THE VERY DISTINCT WEDGE OF DRIER AIR MOVING INTO MO/AR. FWC AT KFYV ARKANSAS SUGGEST A BROKEN MID-CLOUD CEILING AT 06Z. ACTUALLY 06Z OBS AND 11-3.9 SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW MOST OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EITHER CLEAR OR MOSTLY CLEAR. INTERPOLATION OF THE MOVEMENT OF CLEARING WOULD PLACE IT OVER AT LEAST THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF MY CWA BY MORNING AND PROBABLY A GOOD CHUNK OF THE SOUTHERN HALF OF MY CWA BY MID-DAY. THIS SHOULD YIELD HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE HIGH TEMPS...AND WITH BETTER SURFACE HEATING A BETTER CHANCE OF SURFACE BASED CONVECTION. AND WITH DRIER THAT FORECAST MID-LEVELS...A BETTER SEVERE POTENTIAL. THIS EVENING THE PREFERRED FASTER NGM IS MUCH DRIER THAN ITS GFS/ETA COUNTERPARTS HAVING LESS THAN AN TENTH OF AN INCH QPF ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE THIS WOULD MAKE SENSE GIVEN THE FASTER NGM SOLUTION OF THE TRACK/SPEED OF THE CENTER OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH...THE AFOREMENTIONED BETTER CHANCES OF SURFACE BASED CONVECTION... ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH...MAY BE ABLE TO CONTINUE PAST SUNSET GIVEN 00Z IS THE EXPECTED TIMING OF THE PASSAGE OF THE SOUTHERN AXIS OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. WILL CONTINUE WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THIS EVENING...BUT WILL DROP THE PROBABILITY TO JUST UNDER THE LIKELY CATEGORY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ENTERS THE REGION SATURDAY. THE QUESTION IS HOW QUICKLY...IF AT ALL...DOES THE WRAPAROUND STRATOCU LAST. THE FWC/MAV MOS GUIDANCE PRESENTS A MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUD DAY ACROSS THE REGION. RH TIME HIGH CROSS SECTIONS SUGGEST A VERY THIN CLOUD LAYER WHICH MAY BE ABLE TO ERODE IN TIME. WILL PICK A COMPROMISE AND GO /BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY NORTHWEST/ AND MOSTLY CLOUDY ELSEWHERE. THE DRY INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY NIGHT VIA THE 00Z GFS RUN. AFTER THIS TIME THE COMBINATION OF INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH MOVE EAST OF THE REGION...AND PERIODIC WEAK IMPULSES SPIRALING TOWARD THE REGION OFF A WEAK CUT-OFF UPPER LOW OVER THE ARKLATEXT REGION MAY PROMPT PRECIPITATION. THE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD INCREASE FROM MONDAY ONWARD AS THE UPPER LOW INCHES TOWARDS THE REGION AND THE MOISTURE DEEPENS ACROSS THE AREA. WILL MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSRA MONDAY OVER SEMO...THEN CHANCE POPS OF TSRA ALL LOCATIONS FROM TUESDAY ONWARD. WILL ADJUST EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURES A LITTLE HIGHER ON THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. .PAH...NONE. DFS
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-131000- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 338 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED...BUT ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE ON FRIDAY. DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME LARGE HAIL...ALONG WITH ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...BUT TYPICALLY POOR DRAINING AREAS MAY EXPERIENCE A PERIOD OF HIGH WATER...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY. THERE WILL BE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE FOR TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The Green River rose above flood stage at the Paradise Power Plant gage for a couple of days. The river crested a few inches above flood stage, causing minor flooding of low-lying fields near the river.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5359637.