Arizona, 2003Flash Flood in Arizona, August 14, 2003
August 14, 2003 · NWS PSR · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 14, 3:20 PM MST, 5 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 14, 3:20 PM MST, 5 hours 32 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-150545-
SOUTHWEST ARIZONA/SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
320 PM MST THU AUG 14 2003
.SYNOPSIS...
VERY UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL BE THE RULE ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARIZONA AND
SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LOW DRIFTS OVER
THE REGION FROM THE EAST. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL RUMBLE ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER. AFTER TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE...WITH ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO DECREASE SOMEWHAT OVER THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA ON FRIDAY DUE TO THE RAIN-COOLED AIR...WITH
READINGS EXPECTED TO REBOUND OVER THE WEEKEND. THE WEATHER WILL
RETURN TO A MORE NORMAL MONSOON PATTERN THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.
.DISCUSSION...
LOTS OF PARAMETERS COMING TOGETHER FOR A VERY ACTIVE EVENING ACROSS
MAINLY ERN CWFA. THESE FACTORS INCLUDE A VERY MOIST...UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...A FAVORABLE NELY STEERING FLOW WITH LOTS OF SHEER IN THE
0-6KM LAYER...DIVERGENCE ALOFT WITH LARGE SCALE MID LEVEL CONVERGENCE
...DYNAMICS WITH APPROACHING INVERTED TROF...IE JUST ABOUT ALL ONE
COULD ASK FOR TO ENSURE LOTS OF WEATHER. AS A RESULT...HAVE GONE
WITH VERY HIGH POPS FOR SCNTRL AZ TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WITH
LOWER NUMBERS FURTHER W. SPC ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON FOR BASICALLY SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO NE AZ TIL
04Z. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN THREAT HAS PROMPTED US TO ISSUE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH FOR SCTNRL AZ UNTIL 12Z FRIDAY.
AFTER TONIGHT...INVERTED TROF MOVES INTO AZ AND THEN MEANDERS NWD
DURING THE WEEKEND. COOLER AIR ALOFT WILL SERVE TO DESTABLIZE THE
AMS EVEN FURTHER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH IF TONIGHT IS ACTIVE
...WE WOULD HAVE LOTS OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION TO OVERCOME IN THE
ABSENCE OF MORE UPPER FORCING. WE MAY HAVE SOME OF THAT BOTH FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY AS ADDITIONAL VORT MAXIMA ROTATE AROUND TROUGH. SO...
WILL BASICALLY KEEP CHANCE TYPE POPS GOING INTO SATURDAY...LOWERING
POPS A BIT ON SUNDAY...WITH A LOW GRADE MONSOON FORECAST MAINTAINED
MONDAY THRU THURSDAY.
.PSR...SVR TSTM WATCH SCNTRL AZ...ZONES 22...23...24...27 AND
28 TIL 04Z.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH SAME ZONES 00Z-12Z.Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 14, 6:19 AM MST, 14 hours 33 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-150100-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
619 AM MST THU AUG 14 2003
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY
THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS...DENSE BLOWING DUST...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AN UNUSUALLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING FROM TEXAS INTO
ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE THE UNSETTLED WEATHER ON FRIDAY. A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS...DENSE
BLOWING DUST...AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
DECREASING THREATS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
.INSTRUCTIONS TO SPOTTERS...
WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Aug 14, 6:07 PM MST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX, AZ
607 PM MST THU AUG 14 2003
TIME(MST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0530 PM 5 E SACATON AZ FLASH FLOODS
08/14/03 PINAL FLOODING REPORTED ON STATE
HIGHWAY 87 NEAR MILE MARKER
147. ROAD REPORTED AS
IMPASSIBLE. REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT
FOWLELocal storm report, Aug 14, 6:37 PM MST, 2 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX, AZ
637 PM MST THU AUG 14 2003
TIME(MST) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0615 PM QUEEN CREEK AZ 60 MPH TSTM WIND GUST
08/14/03 MARICOPA ESTIMATED WIND GUST
MEASURED BY STORM SPOTTER.
FOWLEFlash Flood, Maricopa
- When
- August 14, 8:52 PM MST to 10:00 PM MST
- Where
- Maricopa County, Tolleson
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 33.349, -112.491 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy rain was blamed on a partial roof collapse at the Albertson's warehouse at 99th Ave and Lower Buckeye Road. At least 15 homes were flooded according to the Tolleson Fire Chief. Numerous streets flooded.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood and Hail in Arizona, August 14, 20031 death · $51,000 · 1 in hail · 3 events
- Lightning Strike in Utah, August 14, 20031 death · 2 injured · 1 event
- Hail in Colorado, August 14, 2003$1.0 million · 1.5 in hail · 1 event
- Damaging Winds and Lightning Strike in Arizona, August 14, 2003$320,000 · 60 kt wind · 6 events
- Flash Flood in California, August 14, 2003$150,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in North Carolina, August 14, 2003$30,000 · 2 events
- Lightning Strike in South Carolina, August 14, 2003$15,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in South Carolina, August 14 to 17, 200360 kt wind · 8 events
- High Surf in Hawaii, August 14 to 16, 20033 events
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in North Carolina, August 14, 20032 events
- Flash Flood in North Carolina, August 14, 20031 event
- Funnel Cloud in Florida, August 14, 20031 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5374725.