Hail and Damaging Winds in Virginia, June 6, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG, VA
240 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

STRONG WAVE PUNCHING INTO THE SRN APPS SHUD PUSH TSTMS OUT OF THE
AREA BY AROUND MIDNIGHT.  A SHORT PD OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND LOW LVL
MOISTR BEHIND THE FRONT IN THE FAR WEST WILL KEEP A CHC OF LGT
RA/DRZL IN THAT AREA FOR PART OF THE NIGHT.

HIGH PRES BUILDS DOWN THE EAST COAST TMRW BUT LEAVES A BIT OF
WEAKNESS OVER THE FAR WEST.  AM BUYING INTO THE ETA LEAVING ENUF
MOISTR AND INSTAB IN THE FAR WEST TO ALLOW A COUPLE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS
TO DEVELOP...SO HAVE ADDED A SML CHC OUT THAT WAY FOR THE AFTN.

AFTER THAT HIGH PRES REALLY TAKES HOLD AND STAYS PUT UNTIL LATE TUE
OR WED...WHEN A WEAKENING FRONT PUSHES IN.  HAVE LEFT POPS IN FOR
LATE TUE AND WED...THEN DRYING IT BACK OUT ON THU.

FCSTID =
ROA   61  79  55  80 /  40  10  10   0
LYH   62  78  55  81 /  50  10  10   0
DAN   65  80  59  81 /  60  10  10   0
BLF   57  77  54  76 /  50  20  10   0
LWB   56  74  52  75 /  50  10  10   0
BCB   58  75  54  78 /  40  10  10   0
TNB   58  75  55  75 /  50  20  10   0

.RNK...
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-062230-
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1245 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING INTO THE
MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING....SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ALONG AND EAST OF WILKESBORO AND MT AIRY IN
NORTH CAROLINA...AND STUART...ROANOKE AND LEXINGTON IN SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...VERY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF 2 INCHES IN LESS THAN AN HOUR ARE EXPECTED WITH
SOME OF THE STORMS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY BY LATE AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES AS
INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

JJ

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>045-062100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
250 PM EDT THU JUN 6 2002

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE AREA...

AT 250 PM...RADAR SHOWED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT
EXTENDED FROM WESTERN GREENBRIER COUNTY...SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE
HINTON...BLUEFIELD AND TAZEWELL AREAS. THIS LINE IS MOVE EASTWARD
AT AROUND 30 MPH...AND WILL PASS THROUGH THE REST OF SOUTHEAST
WEST VIRGINIA...AND WILL BE MOVING INTO THE NEW RIVER VALLEY AREA
OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN 3:00 AND 4:00 PM. AS THE STORMS
MOVE EASTWARD...THEY WILL BE INCREASING IN STRENGTH. PEOPLE IN THE
PATH OF THESE STORMS SHOULD EXPECT GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...SMALL
HAIL...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE NEW RIVER
VALLEY AND THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS. S

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8:00 PM FOR BATH...
ALLEGHANY...CRAIG...MONTGOMERY...FLOYD AND CARROLL COUNTIES.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS...AND DO NOT USE ELECTRICAL
APPLIANCES.

JJ