1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 9, 2:00 AM CST, 5 hours 48 minutes earlier.
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
300 AM CDT WED OCT 9 2002
CURRENT WEATHER ANALYSIS...
THERE IS A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEAST
CONUS AND OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. WEAK SURFACE TROUGHS OVER
THE SOUTHWEST CONUS AND NORTHERN MEXICO INTO NEW MEXICO AND THE
CONTINUAL DIVIDE. 500MB HIGH EXISTS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WITH ZONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS AND A LOW CENTERED OVER NEW MEXICO. A
PACIFIC MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE TAPS CAN BE SEEN BY IR/WV SATELLITE
AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TAP IS EVIDENT BY 88D VAD WINDS. 88D RADAR
SHOWS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SCATTERED OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS AND HILL COUNTRY FORECAST WARNING AREA.
MODEL GUIDANCE ANALYSIS...
AVN PRECIPITABLE WATER KEEPS THE REGION RATHER WET THROUGH 48 HOURS
WITH A NOTICEABLE DRYING TREND AFTER THAT. THE MRF...AVN...ETA AND
NGM 500MB GUIDANCE MOVES THE LOW OVER NEW MEXICO NORTHEAST BY
48 HOURS...BUILDING THE CARIBBEAN HIGH OVER THE GULF AND MEXICO.
THE MRF...AVN...ETA AND NGM SURFACE GUIDANCE MOVES THE NORTHEAST
SURFACE RIDGE OFF TO THE THE EAST...SWEEPS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
COASTAL HIGH ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST BY 48 HOURS...A MOVES A
SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS THE MIDWEST AHEAD OF THE RIDGE.
CURRENT WEATHER OUTLOOK...
LOOK FOR UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NEW MEXICO TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST
THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT...DRAGGING A SURFACE TROUGH WITH IT. THIS
WILL GIVE THE REGION CLEARING SKIES FROM THE WEST WITH RAIN ENDING.
WILL CONTINUE WITH THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY ( 4PM / 21Z )
THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE
TIMING THE THE TROUGH AND THE LOW EJECTING THE THE NORTHEAST IS THE
KEY.
IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS...
A COLD FRONT IS PROGED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND WITH
ASSOCIATED SHOWERS.
PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
AUS 80/65/80/60/84 64200
DRT 85/65/85/62/85 53200
SAT 81/65/82/61/85 64200
.EWX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 4 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND MOST OF THE HILL COUNTRY.TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-101200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 600 AM CDT WED OCT 9 2002 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND MOST OF THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY. THIS WATCH INCLUDES THE COUNTIES OF... ATASCOSA...BANDERA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL... COMAL...DIMMIT...EDWARDS...FRIO...GILLESPIE...GUADALUPE...HAYS... KENDALL...KERR...KINNEY...LEE...LLANO...MAVERICK...MEDINA...REAL... TRAVIS...UVALDE...WILLIAMSON...WILSON AND ZAVALA. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONTINUING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE HILL COUNTRY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER NEW MEXICO CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TODAY COULD APPROACH 4 TO 8 INCHES. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY LIKELY BE NEEDED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL END THURSDAY MORNING WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAIL THROUGH TO THE WEEKEND. A APPROACHING COLD FRONT MAY BRING A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL RAINS ON SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
The San Antonio River crested at Elmendorf at 43.3 feet on October 9 at 2130CST, where 35.0 feet is flood stage.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, October 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5319315.