An upper level low produced showers and thunderstorms that dumped up to 8 inches of rain in Coleman, San Saba, and Kimble Counties. This rain fell over saturated ground from heavy rains about a week prior to this event.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
An upper level low produced showers and thunderstorms that dumped up to 8 inches of rain in Coleman, San Saba, and Kimble Counties. This rain fell over saturated ground from heavy rains about a week prior to this event. San Saba County was hardest hit with several roads closed due to the flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 5:16 AM CST, 2 hours 29 minutes earlier.
WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 616 AM CDT SUN JUL 14 2002 UPDATED TO ADD MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE BIG COUNTRY AND TO INCREASE POPS IN THE HEARTLAND. 11Z RADAR AND SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A TROUGH STRETCHING FROM NEAR SWEETWATER THROUGH THE HEARTLAND. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MORE NUMEROUS IN THE HEARTLAND THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IN THE HEARTLAND WITH HEAVY RAINFALL OBSERVED (UP TO AROUND 2 INCHES IN A FEW LOCATIONS) AND SOME TRAINING OCCURRING IN THE HEARTLAND ALONG THE BOUNDARY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. BELOW IS THE EARLY MORNING DISCUSSION. *********************************** 07Z ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WESTERN STATES. MEANWHILE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUES TO STRETCH FROM NEW ENGLAND TO TEXAS. A DIFFUSE SURFACE FRONT STRETCHES FROM WEST OF AMARILLO...SOUTHEAST TO BETWEEN CHILDRESS/WICHITA FALLS AND THE BIG COUNTRY...THEN OFF TO THE EAST ALONG THE RED RIVER. TODAY AND TONIGHT... DESPITE THE SURFACE FRONT NORTH OF THE BIG COUNTRY...PLENTY OF LEFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES CONTINUE TO MEANDER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THIS WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH OF A KICK FOR ISOLATED/SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE REMAINS. WITH DRY MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR CONTINUING TO SLOWLY SLIDE SOUTH INTO THE REGION...AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM COULD DEVELOP AS THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER LITTLE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS WILL REMAIN AS THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT (WEAK JET) LIFTS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE DRY AND MOIST MID/UPPER LEVEL AIR WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY LOCATION FOR INITIAL STORMS TO DEVELOP TODAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL COUNTIES EARLY ON...BEFORE WORKING A BIT FURTHER SOUTH LATER IN THE DAY. BY THIS EVENING A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE KICKING OFF ALONG ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MORE LIKELY FURTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO INTERSTATE 10. ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN OVERNIGHT. MONDAY AND TUESDAY... MONDAY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ONLY LEFT OVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO HELP TRIGGER THEM. HOWEVER MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MUCH BETTER ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL JET BEGINNING TO DEVELOP AND PROVIDING LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. ALSO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS BECOMES WITHIN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF ANOTHER (ALBEIT WEAK) UPPER LEVEL JET...SIMILAR TO OR SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN SATURDAY/S CONDITIONS. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE THE BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. IN THE EXTENDED... BY WEDNESDAY THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS SLIDE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. HOWEVER A WITH THE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CONTINUING TO LINGER ACROSS THE REGION...AND SOME OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MEANDERING ABOUT...ISOLATED ACTIVITY CAN STILL BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MOST MODELS AGREE ON AN OVERALL RIDGE STRETCHING FROM FLORIDA THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL THEY ALSO ALL SHOW A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE STRETCHING FROM THE NORTHEAST STATES TO THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS TEXAS. IT DOES APPEAR ALL MODELS AGREE ON THE RIDGE BEING SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO STIFLE ANY POSSIBLE SHOWER ACTIVITY. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE DRY FORECAST. ONLY SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES APPEAR IN ORDER GIVEN THE MINIMAL VARIATION IN 850MB TEMPS THROUGH THE WEEK. ABI 091/067/090/071 1123 SJT 092/068/092/072 2224 JCT 091/070/092/072 3234 .SJT...NONE 24
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140- 154-155-168>170-142330- WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 630 AM CDT SUN JUL 14 2002 ...LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HILL COUNTRY AND THE HEARTLAND FLOODING THE REMNANTS OF A WEAK FRONT...DAYTIME HEATING...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL CAUSE SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THROUGH TODAY. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH...AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS. SPOTTER ACTIVATION...IF ANY...SHOULD BE HIGHLY LOCALIZED. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS AND OUTLOOKS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES ACROSS TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND NEW MEXICO. 26
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Numerous roads were closed throughout San Saba county as a result of flooding.
Significant street flooding was reported in Coleman.
FM 479 was closed for a time due to high water over the road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, July 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5307107, 5307109, 5307108.