Hail in New Mexico, June 13, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
325 PM MDT THU JUN 13 2002

TYPICAL JUNE PATTERN ACROSS AREA WITH POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE TSTMS
THRU AT LEAST MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE PLAINS...DRY AND GENERALLY STABLE
ACROSS THE WEST. APPEARS SFC COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN PARTS
OF THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE EAST SLOPES OF
THE SANGRE DE CRISTOS. STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT EXISTS ALONG
AND NORTH OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH MAY HELP TO ORGANIZE
CONVECTION DURING THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ECNTL PLAINS WHERE
HIGHER DEW POINTS WILL BE AVAILABLE. GUSTY EAST WINDS DEVELOPING
ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY MIDNIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE GRADIENTS TEND MORE S-SELY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. LOOKS LIKE A NOTCH LESS ACTIVE ON SATURDAY BUT CAN/T RULE
OUT CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND EAST. ACROSS THE WEST...ALTHOUGH WE SHOULD
SEE AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IT WILL BE SHALLOW AND OVERALL
AIR MASS TO REMAIN RELATIVELY STABLE SO WILL HEDGE TOWARD SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR NOW.  LEE TROUGHING RETURNS SATURDAY...AND THEN LOOKS
LIKE ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSGE LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.  OTHERWISE
UPPER RIDGE TO BREAK DOWN BEGINNING SUNDAY WITH A GENERALLY DRY
WEATHER PATTERN TAKING SHAPE FOR THE PERIOD TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.  KJ

ABQ BB 068/091 064/094 065 41-11
SAF BB 052/086 055/089 057 41-11
TCC BB 061/082 063/089 063 41412

.ABQ...SEVERE TSTM WATCH TILL 900 PM MDT FOR MUCH OF THE EAST.