Hail in New Mexico, April 26, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
259 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2002

COOL AIR AND LOW CLOUDS KEPT MOST OF THE AREA IN A STABLE AIR MASS
SO FAR TODAY.  AS OF 19Z SFC WARM FRONT WAS STILL LOCATED WELL TO THE
SOUTH OF THE AREA JUST NORTH OF A DRYDEN TO JUNCTION TO MARBLE FALLS
LINE...AND STRUGGLING TO MOVE NORTHWARD. PRESSURE FALLS WERE STARTING
TO TAKE PLACE ON A MORE WIDESPREAD SCALE BY 18Z TODAY...INDICATING
THAT THE SFC LOW WAS STARTING TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS ERN NM.  WINDS
CONTINUE TO INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH OFF THE SURFACE ON THE VWP AT
KMAF.  WARM FRONT SHOULD START MAKING ITS WAY NORTH THIS EVENING AS
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA IN SOUTHERN CO/EASTERN NM CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP.  ALL THIS POINTING TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT TAKING PLACE
LATER THIS EVENING WHEN THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER SOUTHERN CA MOVES A
LITTLE CLOSER AND CAN HELP SPARK THE ACTIVITY.  THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP TO THE WEST AND THEN RACE EAST INTO MORE STABLE AIR WEAKENING
AS THEY GO.  MAIN THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WITH
THESE STORMS.  THREATS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH FOR EASTERN AREAS AS THIS
COOL AIR HANGS AROUND...BUT WILL LEAVE SEVERE WORDING IN ZONES FOR
NOW...AND LET A LATER UPDATE REMOVE IF STORMS DONT SIGNIFICANTLY
INTENSIFY. CUMULUS STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AT
230PM THIS AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF WHERE DRYLINE WILL PROBABLY
INITIALLY SET UP...AND WHERE THERE IS A GENERAL AREA OF CONVERGENCE
AT THE SURFACE.

TOMORROW WILL BE WARM AND DRY AS OPPOSED TO THE PRESENT WEATHER.
THE UPPER LOW WILL EXIT TO THE NORTHEAST...AND WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A
WESTERLY DIRECTION OVER MOST OF THE AREA BRINGING IN DRY SURFACE
AIR.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER OVER THE NORTHERN
AND NORTHEASTERN COUNTIES WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID 80S.
THE SAME FOR SUNDAY AS WE TRANSITION INTO A MORE ZONAL FLOW PATTERN
ALOFT.

FOR THE EXTENDED...CONTINUED WARM TREND FOR THE WORK WEEK...
ANTICIPATE LITTLE OR NO CHANGE FOR THE CURRENT EXTENDED FORECAST.

MAF  57/85/55/88    4000
LSA  55/84/53/87    5000
6R6  63/90/58/91    3000
MRF  51/80/45/83    3000
CNM  54/84/53/89    3000

.MAF...
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.

20

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
808 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0750 PM    43 ENE STUDY BUTTE        TX   2 INCH HAIL
04/26/02   BREWSTER                       REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE
                                          OBSERVER.