2 marine thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 28, 3:15 AM EST, 50 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 415 AM EDT SUN JUL 28 2002 FORECAST CONCERNS ARE WITH SHRA/TSTM CHANCES TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS FINDING IT DIFFICULT TO PICK OUT LOCATION OF WARM FRONT DUE TO ONGOING CONVECTION. SUSPECT THE FRONT MAY LIE FROM NEAR LUDINGTON SE THROUGH LANSING WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS JUMP INTO THE 70S. 00Z UPPER AIR CHARTS AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING MAIN SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN WISCONSIN/WEST-CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN...WITH A MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH SLIDING IN BEHIND THE WAVE. LOW LEVEL JET/MOIST CONVERGENCE INTO THE BOUNDARY HAS INITIATED ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA/TSTMS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. SOUNDINGS INDICATING 40 KNOTS OR GREATER MID LEVEL FLOW THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AIDING WITH TSTM ORGANIZATION. VICINITY OF FRONT HAS LEAD TO DECENT STORM RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES LAST EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WITH A NUMBER OF THUNDERSTORMS EXHIBITING ROTATION. HOWEVER...LACK OF SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY HAS PRECLUDED MUCH IN THE WAY OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OR TORNADIC SPIN UPS. TODAY...AFTERNOON TEMPS AND INSTABILITY WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON HOW QUICKLY CLOUD COVER CAN CLEAR OUT. ANTICIPATE AFTERNOON TEMPS MAY RUN A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAT SATURDAY...PARTICULARLY FOR THE NORTHERN AREAS WHERE THE CLOUD COVER HANGS ON THE LONGEST. EVEN SO...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS STILL HOLDING IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AGAIN PRIMARILY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. DIFFICULT TO KNOW EXACTLY WHERE WARM FRONT ENDS UP THIS AFTERNOON...AS THIS WILL PLAY A BIG ROLE IN ANY ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. MODELS SUGGEST BOUNDARY MAY BEGIN TO SAG BACK FURTHER TO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AFTER PASSAGE OF MID LEVEL WAVE TO THE NORTH. FOR NOW...WILL GO WITH IDEA THAT BOUNDARY SETS UP JUST A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH THAN MODELS ADVERTISE. THUS SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES WILL HAVE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR VICINITY OF FRONT AND ALONG ANY LAKE HURON MARINE BOUNDARIES WHERE THE WESTERLY SYNOPTIC FLOW INTERSECTS THE MARINE BOUNDARIES. AM INCLINED TO REMOVE AFTERNOON TSTMS FROM THE REST OF THE CWA. TONIGHT...500 MB RIDGING MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN IN ADVANCE OF NEXT UPSTREAM WAVE WITH SLIGHT MID LEVEL WARMING HELPING TO STABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE IN THE NORTHERN COUNTIES. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE (850 MB THETA-E AXIS) REMAINS THROUGH THE CENTRAL PART OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN WITH INSTABILITY LINGERING THROUGH THE NIGHT. CANNOT RULE OUT CHANCE SHOWERS/TSTMS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A RESULT. THEN...UPSTREAM WAVE ADVERTISED BY ETA/AVN MOVES INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY MONDAY MORNING WITH PRECIP FROM THIS SYSTEM SPREADING INTO WISCONSIN AND UPPER MICHIGAN LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME SHRA/TSTMS MAY TRY AND NOSE INTO THE FAR WESTERN PART OF THE CWA AND INTO EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN BEFORE 6 AM MONDAY MORNING...BUT GUT FEELING IS THAT EVERYTHING FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST BEFORE THAT TIME. SO...PLAN TO CARRY A DRY FORECAST FOR THE REST OF THE CWA. MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY...NOT ANTICIPATING MANY CHANGES TO THE ONGOING FORECAST FOR THESE PERIODS. UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND WEAK SURFACE REFLECTION PROGGED TO CROSS THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN MONDAY AFTERNOON. ENTRANCE REGION OF 100 KNOT UPPER JET ALSO SLIDES THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES RESULTING IN STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE/UVV MOVING THROUGH. WILL MAINTAIN LIKELY POPS DURING THE DAYTIME MONDAY FOLLOWED BY A CLEARING TREND MONDAY EVENING AND DRY FOR TUESDAY. .APX...NONE. ADAM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD, MI
430 AM EDT SUN JUL 28 2002
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0420 AM 4 W WEST BRANCH MI .88 IN HAIL
07/28/02 OGEMAWThe NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 120 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:04 UTC.
2 marine thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Lake Huron in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather history
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5307450, 5307517.