Damaging Winds in Kentucky, July 29, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
155 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2002

...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EARLY TONIGHT...BUT...DONT COUNT ON THEM...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL MOVING ACROSS MIDWEST WL ADVANCE EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TONIGHT. MOST S/W ENERGY WILL OCCUR NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER ALTHOUGH
A SMALL CHC OF THUNDERSTORMS CONNECTED WITH SYS WL BE POSBL OVER CWA. BEST
THREAT WL BE FURTHER NORTH.

ALL MODEL VERY SIMILAR AND POINT TO SMALL CHC POPS WITH CHCS DWINDLING AFT
06Z.

LOWER 90 DEGREE TEMPS WERE RATHER COMMONPLC OVR CWA AT ERY AFTN
CREATING HEAT INDICIES AROUND 100 A CARBON COPY OF THE LAST FEW DAYS.
A SOUTHWEST LOW LVL FLOW PREVAILED AT SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVES WELL TO THE EAST OF THE OHIO VALLEY
TUESDAY...THE CWA WL CONTINUE TO BAKE WITH THE THERMOMETER MAKING DAILY
RUNS INTO THE LOWER 90S. HIGH HUMIDITIES ARE ON TAP ALSO. THUS THE HEAT INDEX
VALUES WILL BE MAKING DAILY RUNS TO NEAR 100 DEGREES.

.SDF...NONE.

RDC

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ025-029>032-034>038-300215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
415 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS THIS EVENING ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND THOSE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY...ROUGHLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO SKIM ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA AND PARTS OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS EVENING. BECAUSE
OF STRONG WINDS IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE...SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND DAMAGE.

THIS IS A PRELIMINARY OUTLOOK. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR THE LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION. SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY
BE REQUESTED.