Kentucky, 2002

Flash Flood in Kentucky, January 23 to 25, 2002

January 23 to 25, 2002 · NWS JKL · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 23, 3:30 PM EST, 6 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 23, 3:30 PM EST, 6 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
330 PM EST WED JAN 23 2002

19Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS AN ELONGATED COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM
NORTHEAST MICHIGAN SOUTHWEST TO EASTERN TEXAS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS
WAVES ALONG THIS FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE IS JUST HOLDING ON ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST COAST WITH A STRONG FIELD OF SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN THESE
SYSTEMS. ON SATELLITE...THE NEXT WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THIS FRONT IS
EVIDENT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH THE DEEPER CLOUDS OF THE
EARLIER WAVE STILL FIRING OVER CENTRAL TENNESSEE. THESE CLOUDS AND
WEAKENING SHOWERS END UP DRIFTING NORTHEAST STRAFING OUR THE
SOUTHEAST CORNER OF KENTUCKY.

THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE LONGWAVE PATTERN THROUGH
48 HOURS BEFORE THE QUICKER ETA BECOMES EVIDENT WHEN COMPARED TO THE
AVN. THEY ALL GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE STREAMS BEGIN TO SPLIT AS THE
NORTHERN ENERGY RACES EAST WHILE LEAVING BEHIND THE SOUTHERN STREAM
WAVE. ACCORDINGLY THE SYSTEM DOESN/T APPEAR TO PACK THE PUNCH OF
EARLIER RUNS. THIS SOUTHERN WAVE EVENTUALLY MOVES EAST EARLY IN THE
WEEKEND KEEPING THE RISK OF RAIN GOING TO OUR SOUTH. THIS WILL ALSO
SLOW THE FRONTAL PASSAGE IN EAST KENTUCKY KEEPING RAIN CHANCES GOING
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. RIDGING THEN REDEVELOPS ALOFT OVER THE WEEKEND
QUICKLY MODERATING ANY COOL DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT.

DESPITE THE SIMILARITIES ALOFT...PLENTY OF DIFFERENCES AND
QUESTIONS REMAIN ABOUT THE FRONT/S PASSAGE THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY.
THE MODELS IN GENERAL ARE TRENDING TO SLOWING IT DOWN AND KEEPING
THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN INTO THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME...AS THE WAVE RIDES UP THE FRONT IT WILL BRING A LULL TO THE
PRECIPITATION OVER EAST KENTUCKY TONIGHT. HOWEVER THE MODERATE AND
HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP TOWARD MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH NOON AS
PWS APPROACH 1.5 INCHES AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT ENHANCE THE LIFT.
GIVEN THE RAIN WE HAD THIS MORNING AND ANOTHER INCH PLUS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL UPDATE THE FLOOD WATCH TO ENCOMPASS
THE ENTIRE CWA AND RUN IT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LINGERING
RAINS LAST INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN AND
KEEP THINGS DRY AND QUIET THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

IN THE EXTENDED...THE PATTERN BECOMES MORE AMPLIFIED WITH RIDGING
EAST OF US SERVING AS THE DYING GROUND FOR WEATHER SYSTEMS RETURNING
EAST KENTUCKY TO A WET PATTERN.

NGM AND MAV MOS GUIDANCE CLOSE AND WILL NOT STRAY FAR.

GFE/IFPS GRIDS...MAINLY ADJUSTED EXISTING DATABASE FOR CURRENT
PREFERRED MODEL BLEND. ADDED LAST DAY FROM MRF RAW MODEL SINCE
PROBLEMS STILL EXIST WITH MOS INGEST.

WORK ZONES WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY AS SDFOZFJKL.

.JKL...FFA FOR ENTIRE CWA LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

GREIF

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 78 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 02:32 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Harlan

When
January 23, 9:30 PM EST to January 25, 3:30 AM EST
Where
Harlan County, Coxton
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
36.857, -83.218 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Kentucky highway 38 was closed when reported to be flooded at the site of a bridge.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, January 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5279529.