Florida, 2002Damaging Wind in Florida, November 16, 2002
November 16, 2002 · NWS MLB · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 16, 2:15 PM EST, 2 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 16, 2:15 PM EST, 2 hours before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
215 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2002
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EVENING...
CURRENTLY/TONIGHT...SURFACE LOW HAS BEEN STEADILY MOVING EAST AND
NOW APPEARS TO BE GETTING INLAND ACROSS THE BIG BEND AREA. MODELS
SHOW THIS LOW REACHING OFFSHORE NORTHEAST FLORIDA BY EVENING. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THIS
EVENING AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN HIGH...THOUGH EXPECT THAT IT
WILL BECOME MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL AS LOW TRANSFERS INTO THE ATLANTIC.
WILL CARRY HIGH POPS BUT THINK THAT BULK OF IT WILL THIS EVENING
RATHER THAN AN ALL NIGHT RAIN AS GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING.
SUN...NO REAL CHANGES SEEN WITH LATEST MODEL RUNS AS COLD ADVECTION
WILL BE UNDERWAY IN EARNEST BY THE START OF THE DAY. SINCE THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL HAVE QUITE A BIT OF WESTERLY COMPONENT...EXPECT A
RATHER LARGE COLD AIR STRATOCU FIELD TO ADVECT ACROSS THE AREA FROM
THE GULF. IN ADDITION MODELS SHOW 500 MB COLD POOL TRAVERSING THE
NORTHEAST GULF...WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE A BAND OF LOW TOPPED SHOWERS
THAT SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA. HENCE THE CURRENT FORECAST SHOWING A
LOW POP LOOKS GOOD. IN SHORT...SUNDAY LOOKS LIKE A BREEZY...QUITE
CLOUDY AND DOWNRIGHT CHILLY DAY.
SUN NIGHT MINS WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 40 AND A 10 MPH WIND WILL
BRING WIND CHILL READINGS TOWARDS THE LOWER 30S...WHICH LOOKS
BORDERLINE FOR AN ADVISORY AT THIS TIME.
MON-WED...SURFACE HIGH BEHIND COLD FRONT WILL BE FURTHER SOUTH THAN
EARLIER ONES...SO IN ADDITION TO GOOD COLD ADVECTION MONDAY
MORNING...THE FOLLOWING NIGHT SHOULD ALSO BE BELOW NORMAL...THOUGH
SOUTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS SHOULD START TO MODIFY AS HIGH ELONGATES
AND AN ONSHORE COMPONENT SETS UP.
FLOW PATTERN BECOMES GENERALLY ZONAL ON MON WITH NEXT SHORTWAVE
MOVING BY WELL TO THE NORTH TUE. THIS TROUGH WILL WEAKEN SURFACE
RIDGE A LITTLE BUT THEN IT IS FORECAST TO REBUILD FURTHER NORTH BY
WED. NEXT SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO START DIGGING INTO THE WESTERN
GULF WED...WITH LATEST GFS SHOWING PRESSURES STARTING TO FALL TO OUR
SOUTH.
THU-SAT...PLAN ON INTRODUCING SOME RAIN CHANCES AS 12Z GFS IS
CONTINUING TO DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE GULF...WITH DAY 6/7 PROGS
SHOWING A SURFACE LOW FORMING TO OUR SOUTH AND MOVING INTO THE
ATLANTIC. UKMET LOOKS A LITTLE FURTHER WEST WITH UPPER TROUGH BUT A
GENERAL LOWERING OF PRESSURES TO OUR SOUTH SHOULD SUPPORT A BREEZY
ONSHORE FLOW AND RETURN OF MOISTURE.
MARINE...STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL KEEP ADVISORY CONDITIONS THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH GRADUAL DIMINISHING MONDAY. GFS SHOWING SOME 30 KNOT
WINDS TONIGHT/SUNDAY SO PLAN TO GO WITH 20-25 AND GUSTY. DO NOT SEE
A LOT OF IMPROVEMENT THROUGH THE WEEK THOUGH AS HIGH SHOULD REMAIN
FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO KEEP NORTHEAST GRADIENT FLOW UP TO AT LEAST 15
KNOTS.
PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
DAB EU 058/065 039/063 046 +300
MCO EU 060/064 041/064 047 +300
MLB EU 063/068 042/065 052 +300
.MLB...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET.
PUBLIC/MARINE...LASCODY
AVIATION/FIRE...GITTINGER
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 16, 11:02 AM EST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
162045-
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1102 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2002
.DAY ONE...
...TORNADO WATCH FOR INDIAN RIVER...MARTIN...OKEECHOBEE AND SAINT
LUCIE COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EVENING...
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF
OF MEXICO WILL CROSS OVER NORTH FLORIDA LATE TODAY. THE LOW PRESSURE
CENTER WILL PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT.
ABUNDANT MOISTURE STREAMING INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM AND
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAVE INCREASED THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER. A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTH PART OF THE PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES.
A SQUALL LINE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MAY ALSO AFFECT THE
AREA DURING THE EARLY EVENING...SO THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER STILL
INCLUDES ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
MAKE SURE YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO IS TUNED PROPERLY. LISTEN FOR
FURTHER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT OR GO ONLINE TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV...AND CLICK ON
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.
MARINE INTERESTS...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE FROM INLAND AREAS
TO THE COASTAL WATERS. LOCAL WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS. ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY. NET CONTROL PERSONNEL AND
SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACTIVATE ESPECIALLY IF AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT BECOMES EVIDENT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
BRISK WINDS SUNDAY NIGHT COMBINED WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES MAY
PRODUCE WIND CHILL READINGS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
RL
Thunderstorm Wind, Brevard
- When
- November 16, 4:15 PM EST
- Where
- Brevard County, West Melbourne
- Measured
- 60 kt (69 mph)
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- NWS STORM SURVEY
- Coordinates
- 28.083, -80.583
Thunderstorm winds damaged air-conditioner units on a large warehouse store in West Melbourne. Large pallets of boxing material were moved around in the parking lot.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Ice Storm and High Wind in Connecticut, November 16 to 18, 2002$2.5 million · 50 kt wind · 3 events
- Ice Storm and High Wind in Massachusetts, November 16 to 18, 2002$1.4 million · 11 events
- Ice Storm in New Hampshire, November 16 to 17, 2002$150,000 · 2 events
- Ice Storm in New York, November 16 to 17, 2002$85,000 · 7 events
- Winter Storm in Connecticut, November 16 to 17, 2002$100,000 · 1 event
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in Maine, November 16 to 17, 200221 events
- Heavy Snow and Winter Weather in New Hampshire, November 16 to 17, 200218 events
- Flooding and Strong Wind in New Jersey, November 16 to 17, 200210 events
- High Wind in Montana, November 16 to 17, 200263 kt wind · 9 events
- Flash Flooding in Florida, November 16, 20024 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, November 16, 20024 events
- Marine Thunderstorm Winds in Gulf of Mexico, November 16, 200259 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5322564.