Florida, 2002

Flood in Florida, May 16, 2002

May 16, 2002 · NWS TBW · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 16, 2:12 PM EST, 3 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 2:12 PM EST, 3 hours 33 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
312 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2002

CURRENTLY...INCREASED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HAS ALLOWED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP OVER THE FA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE...SFC OBS AND 88D RETURNS INDICATE THAT
THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE IS DEVELOPING FROM THE BAY AREA SOUTH...
WITH A NARROW BAND OF CONVECTION ALREADY DEVELOPING ON IT. FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON EXPECT TO SEE ADDITIONAL CONVECTION FIRE
OFF...ESPECIALLY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE BEST MOISTURE AND
SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS TAKE PLACE. BASED ON THIS WILL CARRY 30% POPS
COASTAL/INTERIOR ZONES FROM THE BAY AREA SOUTH...AND 20% FAR NORTH

SHORT TERM...NO REAL CHANGES NOTED ON MODEL RUNS THIS AFTERNOON SO
AGAIN WILL USE A BLEND. ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL TRANSITION TOWARD
UPPER TROUGHING ALONG THE EAST COAST AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND
NEXT WEEK. AS THIS OCCURS AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH AN ATTENDANT
COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST SOUTHEAST MOVING ACROSS THE SERN GULF
STATES ON SATURDAY AND THEN THROUGH THE FA ON SUNDAY. SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY ALL MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS THE SFC HIGH OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC MOVES E-SEWD WITH A SE THEN S-SWLY FLOW DEVELOPING.
THE S-SWLY FLOW WILL FAVOR HIGHEST POPS (40-50% RANGE) INTERIOR ZONES
BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY IN VICINITY OF THE SEA BREEZE COLLISIONS...
THEN WE SHOULD SEE MORE UNIFORM POP COVERAGE ALL ZONES ON SUNDAY AS
THE FRONT AND ITS UPPER SUPPORT GETS INTO THE ACT. GUIDANCE TEMPS
CONTINUE TO LOOK REASONABLE AND WILL ACCEPT.

EXTENDED...(MON-THURS)...LATEST AVN DEPICTS UPPER TROUGHING REMAINING
OVER THE EASTERN SEA BOARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. SFC HIGH
NOSING SEWD FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL FAVOR A BREEZY NELY WIND
FLOW. SLOW CLEARING TREND STILL DEPICTED TO MOVE INTO THE NRN MOST
ZONES ON MONDAY...THOUGH LINGERING MOISTURE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
ZONES SHOULD STILL FAVOR SOME LOW POP PREMISE. BY TUESDAY RESIDUAL
MOISTURE FINALLY SHIFTS EAST...SO WILL KEEP PARTLY CLOUDY BREEZY
WORDING INTACT. TEMPS IN WAKE OF THE FRONT SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO THE
LAST FROPA...WITH READING EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
SEASONAL LEVELS.

MARINE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING SLOWLY E-SEWD OVER THE ATLANTIC
WILL ALLOW A SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY WITH A PM SEA BREEZE COMPONENT. THE FLOW
WILL THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT...SHIFTING INTO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY
IN ITS WAKE WITH WIND AND SEAS LIKELY INCREASING TO SCEC OR LOW END
SCA CRITERIA.

FIRE WEATHER...MOIST SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PRECLUDE THE
NEED FOR ANY FIRE WEATHER WATCHES OR RED FLAGS OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

THANKS FOR COORD KMLB.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS
BKV 067/088 069/088 2324
TPA 072/088 073/088 3324
GIF 070/090 072/089 3534
SRQ 070/087 071/087 3324
FMY 071/090 072/090 3334=

.TBW...NONE.

MCMICHAEL

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 16, 3:57 PM EST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN  FL
457 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0415 PM    CAPE CORAL                FL   .50 INCH HAIL
05/16/02   LEE                             REPORTED BY MEDIA.

0430 PM    15 W MYAKKA HEAD          FL   .75 INCH HAIL
05/16/02   MANATEE                        REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.

JTD
Local storm report, May 16, 5:08 PM EST, 37 minutes before
MARINE LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN  FL
608 PM EDT THU MAY 16 2002

TIME(EDT)  .....MARINE SUBZONE....   GMZ  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ......MARINE ZONE......

0548 PM    TAMPA BAY                 830  34 KT MARINE TSTM WIND
05/16/02   TAMPA BAY WATERS

DS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Hillsborough

When
May 16, 5:45 PM EST to 6:30 PM EST
Where
Hillsborough County, 6 mi NW of Tampa
Measured
3.15
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
27.906, -82.347 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

3.15 inches of rain fell in less than two hours in the Town 'N' Country section of Northwest Hillsborough County, causing minor urban flooding.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5291545.