Arizona, 2002

High Wind in Arizona, November 15, 2002

November 15, 2002 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 high wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 3:15 AM MST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 3:15 AM MST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 AM MST FRI NOV 15 2002

.SYNOPSIS...A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHEAST
SECTION OF ARIZONA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING COLDER TEMPERATURES AND
NORTHEAST WINDS TO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. A STRONG
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY DEVELOP OVER THE WEEKEND
...BRINGING A WARMING TREND...AND MUCH LESS WIND. WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.

.DISCUSSION...A FEW CLOUDS IN THE NORTHEAST PLATEAUS TODAY AS SYSTEM
SWINGS THROUGH COLORADO. EXPECT GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ESPECIALLY IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TODAY...AS SURFACE GRADIENTS STRENGTHEN IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN.
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS ON TOP OF THE MESAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS ACROSS
THE MOGOLLON RIM AND YAVAPAI COUNTY. HUMBUG CREEK RAWS GUSTING UP TO
60 MPH SO FAR THIS MORNING WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 40. WE WILL
MENTION LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS SINCE ONLY ONE SITE IS REPORTING THESE
WINDS...HOWEVER A FEW OTHER LOCATIONS WHERE THERE IS NOT A STATION
MAY BE OBSERVING SIMILAR WINDS. WINDS BEGIN TO DROP OFF FAIRLY
QUICKLY BY SATURDAY MORNING...THERE WILL BE ENOUGH OF A PRESSURE
GRADIENT FIELD STILL BY 12Z SATURDAY MORNING...THAT WE WILL GO AHEAD
AND MENTION LOCAL WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN
ZONES 8...37...16 AND 18. AFTER SATURDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL RELAX
TO MAINLY DIURNAL FLOW PATTERNS. A FLAT RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA
THROUGH TUESDAY...SO THAT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STREAM ACROSS
THE AREA FROM TIME TO TIME. AS FOR THE EXTENDED...POSSIBLE CLOSED
LOW SYSTEM ROTATING UNDER WEST COAST RIDGE LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS. FOR NOW WE WILL JUST
MENTION OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS IN THE EXTENDED. TEMPERATURES WILL
WARM A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
TC
FGZ...NONE.

.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA

CITY             TEMPERATURES HI/LO           PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
                 TDY TON   SAT     SUN        TDY TON   SAT   SUN
FLAGSTAFF        049/024 054/019 058/020      000 000 000 000 000 000
WINSLOW          055/022 057/021 058/022      000 000 000 000 000 000
PRESCOTT         060/031 063/030 067/031      000 000 000 000 000 000
PAGE             054/035 055/032 057/033      000 000 000 000 000 000
WINDOW ROCK      044/017 050/017 059/018      000 000 000 000 000 000
CANYON DE CHELLY 050/023 056/023 063/024      000 000 000 000 000 000
COTTONWOOD       069/037 072/034 076/035      000 000 000 000 000 000
GRAND CANYON     051/020 056/018 060/019      000 000 000 000 000 000
GREER            045/023 050/018 054/019      000 000 000 000 000 000
HEBER            051/025 058/020 062/021      000 000 000 000 000 000
JACOB LAKE       044/024 049/019 053/020      000 000 000 000 000 000
NAVAJO N.M.      039/023 045/023 054/024      000 000 000 000 000 000
PAYSON           063/032 065/031 069/032      000 000 000 000 000 000
SEDONA           067/042 070/039 074/040      000 000 000 000 000 000
SELIGMAN         062/029 065/024 069/025      000 000 000 000 000 000
SHOW LOW         051/028 058/025 062/026      000 000 000 000 000 000
ST. JOHNS        051/025 056/024 059/024      000 000 000 000 000 000
WUPATKI N.M.     054/027 059/026 060/027      000 000 000 000 000 000
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 14, 7:48 AM MST, 21 hours 29 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-150200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
700 AM MST THU NOV 14 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.INSTRUCTIONS TO SPOTTERS...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

DEFINITION OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER...A WEATHER EVENT POSING A THREAT
TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.

High Wind, Western Mogollon Rim

When
November 15, 5:17 AM MST
Where
Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
Measured
45 kt (52 mph)
Reported by
GENERAL PUBLIC
Coordinates
35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Strong winds blew a 18 by 25 foot sheet metal building onto the roof of a hotel. There was damage to the hotel, to materials inside of the metal building, and to nearby power lines. Local power outages were also reported.

What these are

High Wind
Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, November 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5322783.