Alabama, 2002

Damaging Wind in Alabama, November 15, 2002

November 15, 2002 · NWS MOB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 thunderstorm wind, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$5,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 15, 2:10 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 2:10 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
210 PM CST FRI NOV 15 2002

MAIN FORECAST ISSUE IN THE NEAR TERM REMAINS POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
WEATHER THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND COASTAL ALABAMA
AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE. BEYOND THAT...LOOKING AT A TEMPERATURE
FORECAST.

RIGHT NOW...SEEING A PAIR OF SHORT WAVES DEEPENING THE MAIN TROUGH
OVER THE PLAINS...THE FIRST OF WHICH IS IN PHASE WITH A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE FIRST SHORT WAVE IS
IN PHASE WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING. THERES ENOUGH JET DYNAMICS AND INSTABILITY AROUND TO
SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT
THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE FURTHER EAST THEY GO...WITH
ONLY ISOLATED SEVERE IMPACTS THIS AFTERNOON EXPECTED.

LIGHT RAIN AND SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO TOMORROW MORNING DUE TO
WRAP AROUND MOISTURE AND LAYER LIFTING BEHIND THE FRONT IN ADVANCE
OF THE SECOND STRONG SHORT WAVE NOSING IN FROM THE WEST. EXPECT RAIN
TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WITH GRADUAL CLEARING TO FOLLOW.
STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND DOWNGLIDE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
SUNDAY. AS FOR COLD OVERNIGHT TEMPS...THE MAIN COLD AIR PUSH BEGINS
EARLY SUNDAY AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH CLEARS THE AREA AND NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT PUSHES IN. THE COLDEST TEMPS ARE STILL FORECASTED FOR
MONDAY MORNING...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA AND DECENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING IS EXPECTED. MAV/MEX GUIDANCE STILL SHOW
FREEZING TEMPS TO NEAR THE COASTLINE.

EXTENDED...THE PATTERN WILL DEAMPLIFY STARTING MONDAY AS MAIN TROUGH
MOVES EAST AND GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR A LITTLE WARMING LOCALLY WITH FAIR SKIES. THE GFS SHOWS A
REINFORCING BOUNDARY STARTING TO MOVE INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AS A SHORT
WAVE MOVES THROUGH THE PLAINS. REMAINS TO BE SEEN HOW MUCH OF
COOLING EFFECT THIS WILL ACTUALLY HAVE...MEX GUIDANCE SHOWS
CONTINUED CLIMATE-DRIVEN SEASONABLY MILD TEMPS. ALSO NCEP EXTENDED
DISCUSSION POINTS OUT THAT THIS WILL BE MODIFIED PACIFIC MARITIME
AIR AND NOT AN ARTIC BLAST. THUS NO MAJOR CHANGES TO
EXTENDED...CONTINUED MILD AND DRY.

MARINE...WINDS WILL RAMP UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT TONIGHT. STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS STARTING LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. MAY SEE SOME
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE AT TIMES SATURDAY...BUT OVERALL WINDS STRENGTHS
WILL REMAIN AT THE SMALL CRAFT LEVEL. WINDS AND SEAS WILL RELAX AS
THE GRADIENT RELAXES WHEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA BY
MONDAY. MODERATE NORTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
MOB 051/056 036/054 034 137410
PNS 054/060 038/055 035 137710
DTS 058/062 042/054 038 13782-
GZH 052/054 036/049 029 136510
2RO 045/049 032/047 028 1342-0
61A 053/055 036/048 029 136610

.MOB...
AL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT GMZ650-670.
FL...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT GMZ655-675.
MS...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 12:55 PM CST, 3 hours 50 minutes before
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-152200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1255 PM CST FRI NOV 15 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING. AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND
PUSH ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE THE BEST INSTABILITIES
WILL BE POOLED.  THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA IN
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS TIME.  THE MAIN
THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING...DOWNBURST
WINDS.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...GUSTY 15 TO 20 KNOT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
INCREASE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON THE BEACHES DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...STORM SPOTTERS
AND HAM RADIO OPERATORS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

.SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WILL USHER IN MUCH
COLDER AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING ALONG
AND NORTH OF A GREENVILLE TO WAYNESBORO LINE WILL BE NEAR FREEZING
SUNDAY MORNING. BY MONDAY MORNING...NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY
BE POSSIBLE AS FAR SOUTH AS INTERSTATE 10...WITH INTERIOR LOCATIONS
SEEING LOWS AROUND 30 DEGREES.

OTHERWISE...NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 23 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Mobile

When
November 15, 4:45 PM CST to 4:46 PM CST
Where
Mobile County, Georgetown
Measured
50 kt (58 mph)
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
Coordinates
30.883, -88.267

A few trees were blown down just north of Georgetown.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alabama in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, November 2002

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5322652.