Drought, Western Mogollon Rim
- When
- April 1, 12:00 AM MST to April 30, 11:59 PM MST
- Where
- Western Mogollon Rim forecast zone
- Reported by
- OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
- Coordinates
- 35.839, -111.770 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Drought conditions continued through out the month of April. 29).
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
Drought conditions continued through out the month of April. Just over half of an inch (0.51) of rain fell early in the month which was 0.78 inches below normal (1.29). For the year, 1.22 inches of precipitation fell which is 7.43 inches below the normal of 8.65 inches. From September first to the end of April, 4.71 inches of precipitation fell which was 11.68 inches below the normal of 16.39 inches.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 31, 8:00 PM MST, 4 hours earlier.
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
800 PM MST SUN MAR 31 2002
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING WARM AND GENERALLY
DRY WEATHER TO NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK.
HOWEVER...SOME MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON CLOUDS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A DRY THUNDERSTORM OR TWO.
.DISCUSSION...STRONG UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE ALONG THE
WEST COAST. A WEAK TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN MOVING EASTWARD WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL JET WAS LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE THIS EVENING. THIS TROUGH
HAS ADVECTED SOME LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND SOME HIGH-BASED
SHOWERS MANAGED TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. MODELS HAVE
HANDLED THE EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS TROUGH POORLY AND DID NOT
EVEN PICK IT UP UNTIL YESTERDAY...EVEN THOUGH IT HAD BEEN NOTED DAYS
EARLIER IN THE WV IMAGERY. HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN MODEL SOLUTION
THAT THIS FEATURE WILL REMAIN OFF BAJA FOR A FEW DAYS. INSTEAD...
BELIEVE THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND CUT
OFF THE FLOW OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA. WITH WEAK FLOW
ALOFT...MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE WILL REMAIN AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF HIGH-BASED AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
RECORD TEMPERATURES AGAIN ON TAP FOR MONDAY AND HAVE MADE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS IN HEADLINES FOR A FEW ZONES. DB
.FGZ...NONE.
.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA
CITY TEMPERATURES LO/HI PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
TON MON TUE WED TON MON TUE WED
FLAGSTAFF 029/069 030/067 030/065 000 000 000 000 000 000
WINSLOW 036/077 037/077 037/075 000 000 000 000 000 000
PRESCOTT 038/076 039/074 039/072 000 000 000 000 000 000
PAGE 051/078 052/077 052/075 000 000 000 000 000 000
WINDOW ROCK 024/070 027/069 027/067 000 000 000 000 000 000
CANYON DE CHELLY 034/074 037/073 037/071 000 000 000 000 000 000
COTTONWOOD 045/084 046/082 046/080 000 000 000 000 000 000
GRAND CANYON 031/073 032/071 032/069 000 000 000 000 000 000
GREER 028/069 029/067 029/065 000 000 000 000 000 000
HEBER 030/077 031/075 031/073 000 000 000 000 000 000
JACOB LAKE 029/064 030/062 030/060 000 000 000 000 000 000
NAVAJO N.M. 028/068 031/067 031/065 000 000 000 000 000 000
PAYSON 038/079 039/077 039/075 000 000 000 000 000 000
SEDONA 044/083 045/081 045/079 000 000 000 000 000 000
SELIGMAN 030/078 031/076 031/074 000 000 000 000 000 000
SHOW LOW 037/079 038/077 038/075 000 000 000 000 000 000
ST. JOHNS 033/075 034/075 034/073 000 000 000 000 000 000
WUPATKI N.M. 041/077 042/077 042/075 000 000 000 000 000 000The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2002Every state in 2002This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, April 2002
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5291360.