Wildfire in Wyoming, July 6 to 9, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
245 PM MDT FRI JUL 6 2001

NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED AS MONSOON CONTINUES TO SPREAD NORTH THROUGH
WYOMING WITH HIGH DEW POINTS AND SCATTERED CONVECTION INCREASING
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.  MONSOON WELL CONNECTED TO ITCZ IN E PAC
AND ALSO BEING SUPPLIED FROM GULF OF MEXICO WITH SE LOW LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS TEXAS AND NEW MEXICO MERGING WITH SOUTH SOUTHWEST FLOW FROM
BAJA INTO ARIZONA AND S CALIFORNIA.  CONVECTION SHOULD BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD ACROSS WYOMING AGAIN THROUGH THE EVENING WITH SOME SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THOUGH THE NIGHT WITH A MINIMUM OF
ACTIVITY FROM SUNRISE TO 10 AM SATURDAY. CANNOT LIMIT THE THREAT TO
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THOUGH THAT IS WHEN THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD OCCUR.  WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT...POTENTIAL
FOR HAIL LESS.  RAIN FROM MORNING SHOWER AT OFFICE WAS QUITE WARM.
BEST HAIL THREAT WILL REMAIN IN JOHNSON AND NATRONA COUNTIES.  WITH
WILDFIRES AROUND W AND CENTRAL WYOMING...ESPECIALLY IN WESTERN
MOUNTAINS...RAIN SHOULD BE WELCOME.  MODELS INDICATE THREAT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH MONSOON CONTINUES THROUGH EXTENDED
WITH LITTLE DAY TODAY CHANGE zIN TEMPERATURE.

.RIW...NONE
C.BAKER

WYZ015-028-062130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
300 PM MDT FRI JUL 6 2001

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR JOHNSON AND NATRONA
COUNTIES UNTIL 9 PM MDT...

AT 300 PM MDT...THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH FOR JOHNSON AND NATRONA COUNTIES UNTIL 9 PM MDT TONIGHT.  THUNDERSTORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL AROUND AN INCH ALONG WITH DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH.  REMEMBER...A WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

PEOPLE IN JOHNSON AND NATRONA COUNTIES SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  IF YOU EXPERIENCE SEVERE WEATHER...
REPORT IT TO THE LOCAL LAW ENFORECMENT AGENCY.

C. BAKER

WCJIN-WYNE