Damaging Wind in Virginia, July 8, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
311 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

SATELLITE SHOWING MCS TRACKING INTO EAST KY...IT SHOULD CONTINUE
HEADING SOUTH INTO OUR UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.  NORTHERN ZONES ALREADY
BOXED. WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE CWA FOR TONIGHT. COULD SEE
SEVERE WEATHER FURTHER SOUTH OF THE BOX THIS EVENING.  HEAVY RAIN IS
LIKELY WITH PW'S NEARING 2 INCHES.  WILL MENTION HEAVY RAIN TOO.
SQUALL LINE MOVING QUICKLY...SO MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE SOUTH
OF US BY MIDNIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...SHORTWAVES RIPPLING THROUGH OUR AREA
UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH TUESDAY...BUT MOISTURE BECOMES MORE
LIMITED LATE TUESDAY...WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AND DRY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

CHA   72  92  71  91 /  60  40  30  30
TYS   70  90  70  89 /  60  40  30  30
TRI   68  88  68  87 /  70  40  30  30
OQT   70  90  70  89 /  60  40  30  30

.MR
X...
NC...NONE.
TN...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR NORTHEAST TN UNTIL 8 PM.
VA...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWEST VA UNTIL 8 PM.

GH

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-082205-

AREA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1025 AM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE
OF A GOLFBALL...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL UP TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR. THIS
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

AN UNSTABLE AND MOIST AIRMASS WAS SITUATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT
OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE HEATING
OF THE DAY. IN ADDITION...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DEVELOPING OVER THE
MIDWEST WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...
AND WILL POSSIBLY AFFECT SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE
AROUND SUNSET. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE AND MOVE SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST?
NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE
LOCAL RADIO OR TELEVISION STATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

DMG

TNZ014>018-042>047-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
215 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 527 IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...CARTER...CITY OF BRISTOL...CITY OF
NORTON...CLAIBORNE...GREENE...HANCOCK...HAWKINS...JOHNSON...LEE...
RUSSELL...SCOTT...SULLIVAN...UNICOI...WASHINGTON AND WISE. THE WATCH IS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF A
QUARTER...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

REMEMBER A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DMG