Hail in Texas, May 6, 2001

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1213 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2001

DRYLINE WAS IN WESTERN SECTIONS OF CWA...HASKELL TO STERLING CITY TO
BIG LAKE. WATER VAPOR SHOWED UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ALONG THE TEXAS NEW
MEXICO BORDER...MOVING INTO WEST TEXAS.

SATELLITE BASED CAPES AT KSJT AND KABI WERE RUNNING 1500 TO 2000
J/KG...WITH AROUND 3000 IN SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. WHILE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION WERE SOMEWHAT HIGH...BELIEVE HEATING AND LIFT FROM
SHORTWAVE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
PORTIONS OF THE CONCHO VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY THIS
AFTERNOON.

WILL UPDATE ZONES ACCORDINGLY...AND REMOVE MORNING WEORDING. LATEST
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK PUTS SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE ALONG AND EAST OF
BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE...AND WILL ALSO UPDATE.

.SJT...NONE.

04

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-062115-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1216 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2001

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF
A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

A DRYLINE ALONG A HASKELL TO SWEETWATER TO BIG LAKE LINE WILL
ADVANCE EASTWARD TO ABILENE...SAN ANGELO AND SONORA AROUND MID
AFTERNOON. MOIST AIR IS IN PLACE EAST OF THE DRYLINE. AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE.

ENOUGH INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR SOME OF THE STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE EXISTS. THE MAIN
THREAT IS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF
THE SUNS HEATING...AND PASSAGE OF THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

FOR THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT
LBBSPSMAF. FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB. FOR
THE CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT OKCSPSOKC. FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT FTWSPSFTW. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT SATSPSSAT.

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-062300-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
201 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2001

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF
A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...

A DRYLINE JUST WEST OF AN THROCKMORTON....ABILENE...SAN ANGELO...
SONORA LINE WILL MOVE EAST ALONG A COLEMAN TO BRADY TO JUNCTION LINE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  MOIST AIR IS IN PLACE EAST OF THE DRYLINE. AS
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE.

ENOUGH INSTABILITY IS PRESENT FOR SOME OF THE STORMS TO BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A BROWNWOOD TO JUNCTION LINE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE EXISTS. THE MAIN
THREAT IS LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF
THE SUNS HEATING...AND PASSAGE OF THE UPPER DISTURBANCE.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

FOR THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT
LBBSPSMAF. FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSLBB. FOR
THE CENTRAL OKLAHOMA OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT OKCSPSOKC. FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT FTWSPSFTW. FOR THE SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT SATSPSSAT.