Hail in North Carolina, July 6, 2001

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1050 AM EDT FRI JUL 6 2001

FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING FASTER THAN EXPECTED WITH NRLY WIND SHIFT
OVER ENTIRE MHX MAINLAND CWA AT 14Z. LATEST RUC40 AND INCOMING
MESOETA CONCUR WITH FRONT S OF AREA BY 00Z. AIR MASS BOUNDARY WITH
HIGHER DEW POINTS WILL LIKELY LAG OVER SRN SECTIONS INTO AFTN AND
PROVIDE FOCUS FOR SCT TSTMS WITH STRONG SHRT WV MOVING THRU FROM
NW...AND ISOLD SVR STILL POSSIBLE. WILL KEEP 40% POPS FOR SRN ZONES
BUT DROP POPS N. TEMP FCST OK EXCEPT WILL DIFFERENTIATE BETWEEN N
AND S ON OUTER BANKS WITH NRN SECTIONS COOLER DUE TO N-NE WIND.

CWF: WITH FASTER FRONTAL MOVEMENT EXPECTED...WILL HAVE TO ADJUST
WIND FCST ACCORDINGLY...MAINLY FOR SRN WATERS. LATEST OBS INDICATE
SEAS BELOW 5 FEET SO WILL DROP SCEC WORDING FOR NRN WATERS. S FACING
BEACHES STILL SEEING EFFECTS FROM SVRL DAYS OF SW FLOW AND WILL
CONTINUE INCREASED THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS.

.MHX...NONE

JBM

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-061630-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT-MOREHEAD CITY NC
1205 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2001

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT HAS DIMINISHED...

THE COLD FRONT THAT WAS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A THREAT OF ISOLATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAD PUSHED SOUTH OF THE AREA BY
NOON. NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BRING MORE STABLE CONDITIONS TO
MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND THUS THE THREAT OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS DIMINISHED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A KINSTON...NEW BERN...BAYBORO
LINE BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

JBM