Florida, 2001

Flash Flood in Florida, November 14, 2001

November 14, 2001 · NWS MLB · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 2:00 PM EST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 14, 2:00 PM EST, 20 minutes before
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED PRELIM CCF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
200 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

CURRENTLY/TONIGHT...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR LOOP INDICATING A
BROAD LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS FORMING JUST OFFSHORE BETWEEN
MELBOURNE AND VERO BEACH.  LARGE AREA OF RAIN CONTINUED OVER
NORTHERN COASTAL SECTIONS.  WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS LAND AREAS
SOUTH OF THIS BAND HAD SET UP A NORTH/SOUTH CONVERGENCE LINE WITH
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED HEAVY RAIN OVER BREVARD.

THE ONLY MODEL OF THE BIG 3 TO PICK UP ON THIS NORTHWEST FLOW OVER
LAND AREAS WAS THE AVN MODEL.  MODEL DRIFTS THE LOW NORTH NORTHEAST
TONIGHT AND WEAKENS THE ONSHORE FLOW...BUT WITH SUCH STRONG EAST
NORTHEAST WINDS...WILL PLAN ON LIKELY POPS FOR NORTHERN COASTAL
SECTIONS TONIGHT.  ELSEWHERE...THE POPS WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER
TO NIL IN THE SOUTH.

THURSDAY...TREND FROM THE MODELS HAS BEEN TO SHIFT THE MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE BAND SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD.  WEAK H50 CUTOFF IS PROGGED
VICINITY OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA WITH AVN MORE AGGRESSIVE IN LIFTING IT
TO THE NORTHEAST.  THOUGH UPPER LEVEL LIFT WILL BE ON THE WANE...
WILL OPT FOR LIKELY POPS IN THE NORTH SINCE THE WINDS OFFSHORE ARE
SO STRONG AND SHOULD BE SLOW TO ABATE.  THINK THAT AVN IS ON TRACK
INDICATING LOW POPS IN THE SOUTH.

FRIDAY...MODELS SHOWING CUTOFF STARTING TO OPEN UP AND DRIFT EAST
AS STRONG NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
U.S.  THEY ALSO HINT AT MOISTURE BAND BEING NUDGED BACK TO THE
SOUTHEAST.  WEAK LOW/INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND
STRONG HIGH IN THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD PRODUCE RATHER BREEZY ONSHORE
FLOW ONCE AGAIN.  WILL PLAN ON BUMPING POPS TO 30/40 PERCENT ALONG
THE COAST AS A RESULT.

SATURDAY...MID/UPPER TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS WELL EAST OF THE AREA AND
BRINGS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  HIGHER MOISTURE BAND STILL DENOTED BUT
AVN SHIFTS IT SOUTHWARD AND WEAKENS IT.  WILL CONTINUE THE SMALL POP
WITH STILL NEAR BREEZY ONSHORE FLOW.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...NORTHWEST TO WEST FLOW ALOFT WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
GENERALLY LESS THAN AN INCH PROGGED BY 12Z AVN LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE
LATEST MRF.  ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD ALSO WEAKEN AS HIGH TO THE NORTH
WEAKENS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE MID SECTION OF THE
COUNTRY.  WILL KEEP FORECAST DRY.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...WEAK FRONT PROGGED TO PASS TUESDAY WITH GUIDANCE
INDICATING SLIGHT COOLING.  850 TEMPS SUGGEST A LITTLE MORE COOLING
THAN MEX GUIDANCE SHOWS...BUT FLOW WILL BE SWINGING TO ONSHORE
RATHER QUICKLY...SO WILL STAY CLOSE TO IT.

MARINE...AFTERNOON FORECAST CALLED FOR 20 TO 25 AND GUSTY...AND IT
HAS BEEN A LITTLE MORE GUSTY THAN ANTICIPATED WITH BUOYS SHOWING A
FEW GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS.  THE SLIGHT LOWERING OF PRESSURES OFFSHORE
IS THE CULPRIT HERE.  ETA MODEL WAS THE CLOSEST IN SHOWING THE
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS BUT WAS NOT DEPICTING THE NORTHWEST WINDS OVER
LAND AREAS.  WILL STAY CLOSE TO PERSISTENCE FOR TONIGHT AND NOT BE
AS QUICK IN DIMINISHING WINDS/BACKING THEM TO THE NORTHWEST LIKE THE
AVN IS DOING TOMORROW.  FRIDAY IS TRICKY DEPENDING ON THE EVOLUTION
AND MOVEMENT OF THE SURFACE FEATURE.  WILL CALL FOR 20 KNOT WINDS
NORTH AND 15 TO 20 SOUTH.  SHOULD REMAIN BREEZY SUNDAY THEN WINDS
SHOULD START TO DIMINISH.  PLAN TO KEEP CURRENT ADVISORIES OVERNIGHT.

PRELIMINARY CCF...
DAB WE 064/073 062/076 064 6644
MCO EB 063/076 061/077 063 4323
MLB EB 064/077 064/078 067 5333

.MLB...HEAVY SURF ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
       SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH TO SEBASTIAN INLET.

PUBLIC/MARINE...LASCODY
AVIATION/FIRE WX...VOLKMER

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 14, 11:13 AM EST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
142100-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1113 AM EST WED NOV 14 2001

...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN IN VOLUSIA COUNTY...
...HEAVY SURF ADVISORY SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD...

THE COMBINATION OF A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES WAS
PRODUCING STRONG EAST NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS FROM
CAPE CANAVERAL NORTHWARD.  THIS WAS RESULTING IN A LARGE AREA OF
SHOWERS SPREADING ACROSS ADJACENT COASTAL SECTIONS.  THE BAND OF
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH...BUT OCCASIONAL
HEAVY RAIN WILL RESULT IN PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS AND OTHER POORLY
DRAINED AREAS OF COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS HAD CHURNED UP THE OCEAN...
WITH SEA HEIGHTS EXCEEDING 10 FEET.  POUNDING SURF WILL BE A DANGER
AT THE BEACHES.  MINOR BEACH EROSION WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR THE HIGH
TIDE THIS EVENING...MAINLY IN BREVARD AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

ENTERING THE OCEAN IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED WHERE DANGEROUS BREAKING
WAVES ARE OCCURRING.  RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE STRONG ALONG ALL OF
THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES.

THE GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS AVAILABLE
AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB/HWOFILES/HWOMAIN.HTML

LASCODY

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 116 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:17 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Volusia

When
November 14, 2:20 PM EST to 4:00 PM EST
Where
Volusia County, Ponce Park
Property damage
$500,000
Reported by
EMERGENCY MANAGER
Coordinates
29.063, -81.149 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Showers and thunderstorms dumped over 5 inches of rain in coastal sections of Volusia County. Thirty five homes in the Ponce Inlet, Daytona Beach and Ormond by the Sea areas received some water damage.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Florida in 2001Every state in 2001This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2001

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5272355.