Washington mountains

Mount Spickard mountain forecast

8,980 ft (2,737 m) · prominence 4,780 ft (1,457 m) · Washington

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 18°F and wind from the W at 13 mph, a wind chill of 5°F, Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT. The freezing level is at 4,580 ft, 4,400 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 34°F at its grid elevation of 6,893 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Spickard and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
8,980 ft (2,737 m)
Forecast grid ground
6,893 ft (2,101 m)
Summit temperature
18°F
Summit wind
W 13 mph
Freezing level
4,580 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
27°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 6,893 ft up 2,087 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT18°FW 13 mph5°F4,580 ft4,400 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT22°FWNW 3 mph18°F5,387 ft3,593 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT27°FWSW 5 mph21°F6,385 ft2,595 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT29°FSW 4 mph25°F6,837 ft2,142 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT31°FSW 4 mph27°F6,060 ft2,920 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT31°FSW 5 mph26°F8,366 ft614 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT32°FWSW 6 mph26°F8,274 ft705 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT30°FWSW 11 mph21°F8,753 ft226 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT30°FWSW 14 mph19°F8,547 ft433 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT32°FWSW 12 mph22°F8,537 ft443 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT33°FWSW 17 mph22°F8,314 ft666 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 8,980 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 29°FW 16-21 mphA chance of snow before 4am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 29, with temperatures rising to around 31 overnight. Wind chill values as low as 18. West wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
SaturdayHigh 34°FW 2-16 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as 20. West wind 2 to 16 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday NightLow 28°FSE 3 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Wind chill values as low as 22. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
SundayHigh 41°FSSW 2-6 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 41. Wind chill values as low as 21. South southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Sunday NightLow 29°FWSW 3-7 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 29. West southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
MondayHigh 40°FWSW 3-13 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 40.
Monday NightLow 32°FSSW 13-28 mphRain and snow likely between 11pm and 2am, then rain and snow likely between 2am and 5am, then rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 36°FSSW 9-28 mphRain and snow before 8am, then rain and snow between 8am and 2pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 31°FSW 9-18 mphRain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 35°FWSW 5-13 mphA chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 35.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (48.9697, -121.2410), by its office in Seattle/Tacoma, WA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 6,893 ft (2,101 m), 2,087 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy31°F / 26°F8,014 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDTMostly Sunny29°F / 26°F7,563 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDTMostly Sunny34°F / 28°F8,255 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDTMostly Cloudy29°F / 20°F8,930 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy29°F / 18°F9,386 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDTSunny36°F / 22°F10,074 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDTSunny41°F / 26°F10,311 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDTMostly Clear30°F / 21°F8,948 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy30°F / 19°F9,404 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDTMostly Sunny36°F / 22°F10,074 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDTPartly Sunny38°F / 30°F8,702 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDTRain And Snow Likely36°F / 25°F9,390 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 1.7 in · September 26: 1.3 in · September 29: 0.8 in · September 30: 0.1 in · October 1: 0.7 in. 4.6 inches in all. Snow level as low as 4,626 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:26 AM6:58 AM6:56 PM7:28 PM-13h -2m
September 276:28 AM6:59 AM6:54 PM7:25 PM-13h -5m
September 286:29 AM7:01 AM6:52 PM7:23 PM-13h -9m
September 296:30 AM7:02 AM6:50 PM7:21 PM-13h -12m
September 306:32 AM7:03 AM6:48 PM7:19 PM-13h -15m
October 16:33 AM7:05 AM6:45 PM7:17 PM-13h -20m
October 26:35 AM7:06 AM6:43 PM7:15 PM-13h -23m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Spickard is in the West Slopes North zone of the Northwest Avalanche Center. Status: off season: a summary, no rating.

Elevation
8,980 ft (2,737 m)
Prominence
4,780 ft (1,457 m)
Coordinates
48.9697, -121.2410
Nearest town
Concrete

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.