Mount Spickard mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 18°F and wind from the W at 13 mph, a wind chill of 5°F, Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT. The freezing level is at 4,580 ft, 4,400 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 34°F at its grid elevation of 6,893 ft.
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The summit on the map
Mount Spickard and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Spickard
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 8,980 ft (2,737 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 6,893 ft (2,101 m)
- Summit temperature
- 18°F
- Summit wind
- W 13 mph
- Freezing level
- 4,580 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 27°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 6,893 ft up 2,087 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | 18°F | W 13 mph | 5°F | 4,580 ft | 4,400 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | 22°F | WNW 3 mph | 18°F | 5,387 ft | 3,593 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | 27°F | WSW 5 mph | 21°F | 6,385 ft | 2,595 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | 29°F | SW 4 mph | 25°F | 6,837 ft | 2,142 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | 31°F | SW 4 mph | 27°F | 6,060 ft | 2,920 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | 31°F | SW 5 mph | 26°F | 8,366 ft | 614 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | 32°F | WSW 6 mph | 26°F | 8,274 ft | 705 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | 30°F | WSW 11 mph | 21°F | 8,753 ft | 226 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | 30°F | WSW 14 mph | 19°F | 8,547 ft | 433 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | 32°F | WSW 12 mph | 22°F | 8,537 ft | 443 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | 33°F | WSW 17 mph | 22°F | 8,314 ft | 666 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 8,980 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 29°F | W 16-21 mph | A chance of snow before 4am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 29, with temperatures rising to around 31 overnight. Wind chill values as low as 18. West wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
| Saturday | High 34°F | W 2-16 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as 20. West wind 2 to 16 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Saturday Night | Low 28°F | SE 3 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 28. Wind chill values as low as 22. Southeast wind around 3 mph. |
| Sunday | High 41°F | SSW 2-6 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 41. Wind chill values as low as 21. South southwest wind 2 to 6 mph. |
| Sunday Night | Low 29°F | WSW 3-7 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 29. West southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. |
| Monday | High 40°F | WSW 3-13 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 40. |
| Monday Night | Low 32°F | SSW 13-28 mph | Rain and snow likely between 11pm and 2am, then rain and snow likely between 2am and 5am, then rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tuesday | High 36°F | SSW 9-28 mph | Rain and snow before 8am, then rain and snow between 8am and 2pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 31°F | SW 9-18 mph | Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Wednesday | High 35°F | WSW 5-13 mph | A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (48.9697, -121.2410), by its office in Seattle/Tacoma, WA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 6,893 ft (2,101 m), 2,087 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 31°F / 26°F | 8,014 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 29°F / 26°F | 7,563 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 34°F / 28°F | 8,255 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 29°F / 20°F | 8,930 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 29°F / 18°F | 9,386 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | Sunny | 36°F / 22°F | 10,074 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | Sunny | 41°F / 26°F | 10,311 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | Mostly Clear | 30°F / 21°F | 8,948 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 30°F / 19°F | 9,404 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 36°F / 22°F | 10,074 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | Partly Sunny | 38°F / 30°F | 8,702 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDT | Rain And Snow Likely | 36°F / 25°F | 9,390 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 25: 1.7 in · September 26: 1.3 in · September 29: 0.8 in · September 30: 0.1 in · October 1: 0.7 in. 4.6 inches in all. Snow level as low as 4,626 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:26 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:56 PM | 7:28 PM | -13h -2m |
| September 27 | 6:28 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:54 PM | 7:25 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 28 | 6:29 AM | 7:01 AM | 6:52 PM | 7:23 PM | -13h -9m |
| September 29 | 6:30 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:50 PM | 7:21 PM | -13h -12m |
| September 30 | 6:32 AM | 7:03 AM | 6:48 PM | 7:19 PM | -13h -15m |
| October 1 | 6:33 AM | 7:05 AM | 6:45 PM | 7:17 PM | -13h -20m |
| October 2 | 6:35 AM | 7:06 AM | 6:43 PM | 7:15 PM | -13h -23m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
Avalanche forecast
Mount Spickard is in the West Slopes North zone of the Northwest Avalanche Center. Status: off season: a summary, no rating.
- Elevation
- 8,980 ft (2,737 m)
- Prominence
- 4,780 ft (1,457 m)
- Coordinates
- 48.9697, -121.2410
- Nearest town
- Concrete
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.