Washington mountains

Mount Baker mountain forecast

10,781 ft (3,286 m) · prominence 8,812 ft (2,686 m) · Washington

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 13°F and wind from the W at 26 mph, a wind chill of -6°F, Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT. The freezing level is at 5,292 ft, 5,489 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: slight chance light snow then partly sunny, high 28°F at its grid elevation of 10,072 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Baker and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
10,781 ft (3,286 m)
Forecast grid ground
10,072 ft (3,070 m)
Summit temperature
13°F
Summit wind
W 26 mph
Freezing level
5,292 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
26°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,072 ft up 709 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT13°FW 26 mph-6°F5,292 ft5,489 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT14°FWNW 22 mph-5°F4,915 ft5,866 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT18°FNW 15 mph4°F5,295 ft5,486 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT23°FWNW 14 mph10°F6,247 ft4,534 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT26°FW 7 mph19°F8,248 ft2,533 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT26°FSW 7 mph18°F8,241 ft2,539 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT26°FWSW 8 mph17°F8,465 ft2,316 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT26°FW 12 mph15°F8,520 ft2,260 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT26°FW 16 mph14°F8,635 ft2,146 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT26°FW 21 mph11°F8,228 ft2,552 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT27°FW 19 mph14°F8,432 ft2,349 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT27°FW 25 mph12°F8,202 ft2,579 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 10,781 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TonightLow 21°FW 15-33 mphSnow. Cloudy. Low around 21, with temperatures rising to around 24 overnight. Wind chill values as low as 6. West wind 15 to 33 mph, with gusts as high as 39 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.
SaturdayHigh 28°FNW 2-14 mphA slight chance of snow before 7am. Partly sunny. High near 28, with temperatures falling to around 26 in the afternoon. Wind chill values as low as 11. Northwest wind 2 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Saturday NightLow 22°FNNE 3-14 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Wind chill values as low as 10. North northeast wind 3 to 14 mph.
SundayHigh 34°FESE 3-13 mphSunny, with a high near 34. Wind chill values as low as 11. East southeast wind 3 to 13 mph.
Sunday NightLow 24°FE 3-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 24. East wind 3 to 10 mph.
MondayHigh 32°FSE 7-10 mphA chance of snow after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Monday NightLow 24°FSSE 7-20 mphSnow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
TuesdayHigh 28°FS 7-20 mphSnow. Cloudy, with a high near 28. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 26°FSSW 7-13 mphSnow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 31°FSW 5-10 mphA chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (48.7773, -121.8132), by its office in Seattle/Tacoma, WA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,072 ft (3,070 m), 709 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDTHeavy Snow24°F / 8°F13,736 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDTSlight Chance Light Snow24°F / 15°F12,141 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDTMostly Sunny21°F / 5°F13,722 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDTPartly Sunny26°F / 18°F11,908 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDTMostly Cloudy23°F / 7°F13,717 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDTPartly Cloudy22°F / 7°F13,471 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDTSunny30°F / 7°F15,317 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDTSunny32°F / 18°F13,262 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDTPartly Cloudy25°F / 7°F14,168 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy25°F / 7°F14,168 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDTMostly Sunny29°F / 5°F15,526 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDTChance Light Snow28°F / 17°F12,587 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 13.1 in · September 26: 2.1 in · September 28: 0.4 in · September 29: 8.3 in · September 30: 4.3 in · October 1: 5.0 in · October 2: 0.6 in. 33.8 inches in all. Snow level as low as 4,508 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 256:28 AM7:00 AM6:58 PM7:30 PM-13h -2m
September 266:30 AM7:01 AM6:56 PM7:28 PM-13h -5m
September 276:31 AM7:03 AM6:54 PM7:25 PM-13h -9m
September 286:33 AM7:04 AM6:52 PM7:23 PM-13h -12m
September 296:34 AM7:06 AM6:50 PM7:21 PM-13h -16m
September 306:36 AM7:07 AM6:48 PM7:19 PM-13h -19m
October 16:37 AM7:09 AM6:46 PM7:17 PM-13h -23m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Baker is in the West Slopes North zone of the Northwest Avalanche Center. Status: off season: a summary, no rating.

Elevation
10,781 ft (3,286 m)
Prominence
8,812 ft (2,686 m)
Coordinates
48.7773, -121.8132
Nearest town
Concrete

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.