Mesahchie Peak mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 20°F and wind from the WNW at 14 mph, a wind chill of 6°F, Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT. The freezing level is at 4,140 ft, 4,656 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 37°F at its grid elevation of 6,165 ft.
The summit on the map
Mesahchie Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mesahchie Peak
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 8,796 ft (2,681 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 6,165 ft (1,879 m)
- Summit temperature
- 20°F
- Summit wind
- WNW 14 mph
- Freezing level
- 4,140 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 28°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 6,165 ft up 2,631 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | 20°F | WNW 14 mph | 6°F | 4,140 ft | 4,656 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | 25°F | WNW 5 mph | 18°F | 5,774 ft | 3,022 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | 29°F | WSW 4 mph | 24°F | 7,349 ft | 1,447 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | 29°F | SSW 3 mph | 26°F | 7,021 ft | 1,775 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | 30°F | SW 3 mph | 27°F | 6,437 ft | 2,359 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | 32°F | WSW 4 mph | 28°F | 7,972 ft | 823 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | 33°F | WSW 5 mph | 28°F | 8,530 ft | 266 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | 31°F | WSW 7 mph | 25°F | 7,638 ft | 1,158 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | 30°F | W 10 mph | 22°F | 8,885 ft | 89 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | 34°F | W 10 mph | 26°F | 8,786 ft | 10 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | 34°F | WSW 12 mph | 25°F | 8,412 ft | 384 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDT | 32°F | WSW 19 mph | 21°F | 8,668 ft | 128 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 8,796 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 27°F | W 15 mph | A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy. Low around 27, with temperatures rising to around 30 overnight. Wind chill values as low as 19. West wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible. |
| Saturday | High 37°F | WNW 5-15 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Wind chill values as low as 18. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Saturday Night | Low 28°F | ESE 2-10 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 28. Wind chill values as low as 20. East southeast wind 2 to 10 mph. |
| Sunday | High 44°F | SSW 2-9 mph | Sunny, with a high near 44. Wind chill values as low as 19. South southwest wind 2 to 9 mph. |
| Sunday Night | Low 30°F | W 2-8 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 30. West wind 2 to 8 mph. |
| Monday | High 44°F | W 5-12 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. |
| Monday Night | Low 33°F | SW 12-16 mph | A chance of rain between 11pm and 2am, then rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Tuesday | High 37°F | SW 8-14 mph | Rain and snow before 5pm, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 32°F | WSW 8-15 mph | Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. |
| Wednesday | High 40°F | WSW 6-10 mph | A slight chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 40. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (48.5786, -120.8800), by its office in Seattle/Tacoma, WA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 6,165 ft (1,879 m), 2,631 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | Slight Chance Light Snow | 30°F / 25°F | 7,309 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 29°F / 25°F | 7,063 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | Sunny | 37°F / 26°F | 8,680 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | Partly Cloudy | 30°F / 22°F | 7,992 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 29°F / 19°F | 8,430 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | Sunny | 39°F / 20°F | 10,498 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | Sunny | 44°F / 24°F | 10,735 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | Mostly Clear | 32°F / 22°F | 8,443 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | Partly Cloudy | 30°F / 19°F | 8,676 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 39°F / 20°F | 10,498 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | Partly Sunny | 42°F / 29°F | 9,145 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDT | Chance Light Rain | 36°F / 28°F | 7,979 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 25: 0.9 in · September 26: 0.9 in · September 29: 0.1 in. 1.9 inches in all. Snow level as low as 4,757 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:25 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:55 PM | 7:26 PM | -13h -1m |
| September 27 | 6:26 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:53 PM | 7:24 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 28 | 6:28 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:50 PM | 7:22 PM | -13h -9m |
| September 29 | 6:29 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:48 PM | 7:20 PM | -13h -12m |
| September 30 | 6:31 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:46 PM | 7:17 PM | -13h -16m |
| October 1 | 6:32 AM | 7:03 AM | 6:44 PM | 7:15 PM | -13h -19m |
| October 2 | 6:33 AM | 7:05 AM | 6:42 PM | 7:13 PM | -13h -23m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
Avalanche forecast
Mesahchie Peak is in the East Slopes North zone of the Northwest Avalanche Center. Status: off season: a summary, no rating.
- Elevation
- 8,796 ft (2,681 m)
- Prominence
- 2,234 ft (681 m)
- Coordinates
- 48.5786, -120.8800
- Nearest town
- Twisp
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.