Washington mountains

Bonanza Peak mountain forecast

9,514 ft (2,900 m) · prominence 3,711 ft (1,131 m) · Washington

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 16°F and wind from the WNW at 24 mph, a wind chill of -3°F, Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT. The freezing level is at 4,744 ft, 4,770 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 36°F at its grid elevation of 7,976 ft.

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The summit on the map

Bonanza Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
9,514 ft (2,900 m)
Forecast grid ground
7,976 ft (2,431 m)
Summit temperature
16°F
Summit wind
WNW 24 mph
Freezing level
4,744 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
30°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 7,976 ft up 1,538 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT16°FWNW 24 mph-3°F4,744 ft4,770 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT19°FNW 18 mph4°F4,035 ft5,479 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT22°FNW 7 mph14°F5,869 ft3,645 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT25°FWNW 4 mph21°F7,441 ft2,073 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT29°FWSW 2 mph7,441 ft2,073 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT30°FWSW 3 mph27°F7,211 ft2,303 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT30°FWSW 4 mph26°F8,209 ft1,306 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT30°FW 6 mph24°F8,652 ft863 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT31°FW 9 mph23°F8,763 ft751 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT31°FWNW 12 mph21°F8,898 ft617 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT32°FWNW 10 mph24°F9,177 ft338 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT33°FWNW 13 mph24°F9,137 ft377 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 9,514 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 27°FW 17-24 mphSnow showers likely before 5am. Mostly cloudy. Low around 27, with temperatures rising to around 29 overnight. West wind 17 to 24 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
SaturdayHigh 36°FNW 5-16 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 5 to 16 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday NightLow 29°FE 3-8 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 29. East wind 3 to 8 mph.
SundayHigh 41°FS 3-7 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 41. South wind 3 to 7 mph.
Sunday NightLow 30°FNW 8 mphMostly clear, with a low around 30. Northwest wind around 8 mph.
MondayHigh 41°FW 6-10 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 41.
Monday NightLow 34°FW 8-12 mphRain and snow showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 37°FSW 10 mphRain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 32°FW 9-15 mphRain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
WednesdayHigh 37°FW 7-12 mphA slight chance of rain and snow showers before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 37. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (48.2378, -120.8660), by its office in Spokane, WA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 7,976 ft (2,431 m), 1,538 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy29°F / 22°F9,557 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDTSunny28°F / 26°F8,441 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDTMostly Sunny35°F / 27°F9,812 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDTMostly Cloudy30°F / 22°F9,803 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDTMostly Cloudy29°F / 18°F10,469 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDTSunny36°F / 21°F11,384 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDTSunny40°F / 26°F11,147 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDTMostly Clear30°F / 22°F9,803 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDTPartly Cloudy30°F / 15°F11,398 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDTMostly Sunny38°F / 21°F11,836 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDTMostly Sunny39°F / 30°F10,031 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDTChance Rain And Snow Showers35°F / 27°F9,812 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 1.4 in · September 26: 0.3 in · September 29: 0.4 in. 2.1 inches in all. Snow level as low as 4,491 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:25 AM6:56 AM6:55 PM7:26 PM-13h -1m
September 276:26 AM6:57 AM6:53 PM7:24 PM-13h -4m
September 286:28 AM6:59 AM6:50 PM7:21 PM-13h -9m
September 296:29 AM7:00 AM6:48 PM7:19 PM-13h -12m
September 306:31 AM7:02 AM6:46 PM7:17 PM-13h -16m
October 16:32 AM7:03 AM6:44 PM7:15 PM-13h -19m
October 26:33 AM7:04 AM6:42 PM7:13 PM-13h -22m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Bonanza Peak is in the East Slopes Central zone of the Northwest Avalanche Center. Status: off season: a summary, no rating.

Elevation
9,514 ft (2,900 m)
Prominence
3,711 ft (1,131 m)
Coordinates
48.2378, -120.8660
Nearest town
Darrington

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.