Colorado mountains

West Buffalo Peak mountain forecast

13,333 ft (4,064 m) · prominence 1,985 ft (605 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 32°F and wind from the NW at 16 mph, a wind chill of 21°F, Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,166 ft, 167 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: sunny, high 49°F at its grid elevation of 12,310 ft.

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The summit on the map

West Buffalo Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
13,333 ft (4,064 m)
Forecast grid ground
12,310 ft (3,752 m)
Summit temperature
32°F
Summit wind
NW 16 mph
Freezing level
13,166 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
45°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 12,310 ft up 1,023 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT32°FNW 16 mph21°F13,166 ft167 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT36°FWNW 7 mph31°F14,108 ft774 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT41°FSW 9 mph35°F15,085 ft1,752 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT37°FWSW 8 mph31°F14,649 ft1,316 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT35°FSW 5 mph31°F14,295 ft961 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT38°FS 11 mph31°F14,482 ft1,148 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT39°FSSW 14 mph31°F14,613 ft1,280 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT36°FSSW 13 mph27°F14,432 ft1,099 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT33°FSW 7 mph26°F13,681 ft348 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT33°FSSW 6 mph27°F12,969 ft364 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT32°FWSW 11 mph24°F13,241 ft92 ft below the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT32°FWSW 12 mph23°F13,169 ft164 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT, interpolated to 13,333 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TodayHigh 49°FWNW 5-15 mphSunny, with a high near 49. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
TonightLow 34°FWSW 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 34. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
SundayHigh 47°FSW 10-15 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph.
Sunday NightLow 35°FW 5-10 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
MondayHigh 42°FWSW 5-10 mphA chance of snow showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 34°FWNW 5-10 mphShowers and thunderstorms before midnight, then rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 37°FENE 5-10 mphRain and snow showers likely before noon, then a chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Tuesday NightLow 33°FNE 10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 42°FNNW 10-15 mphA chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Wednesday NightLow 31°FNW 10-15 mphA chance of showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (38.9917, -106.1250), by its office in Pueblo, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 12,310 ft (3,752 m), 1,023 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTSunny33°F / 28°F13,467 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny45°F / 25°F16,858 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy46°F / 26°F16,876 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTMostly Clear36°F / 26°F14,579 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTPartly Sunny34°F / 24°F14,584 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy46°F / 26°F16,876 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms44°F / 25°F16,653 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTSlight Chance Rain And Snow Showers36°F / 29°F13,896 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers35°F / 28°F13,919 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms Likely39°F / 31°F14,137 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms40°F / 32°F14,114 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTRain And Snow Showers37°F / 34°F13,003 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 29: 0.1 in · September 30: 0.3 in. 0.4 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,227 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:29 AM6:56 AM6:56 PM7:23 PM-12h 0m
September 276:30 AM6:57 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -2m
September 286:31 AM6:58 AM6:53 PM7:20 PM-13h -5m
September 296:32 AM6:59 AM6:52 PM7:18 PM-13h -7m
September 306:33 AM7:00 AM6:50 PM7:17 PM-13h -10m
October 16:34 AM7:01 AM6:48 PM7:15 PM-13h -13m
October 26:35 AM7:02 AM6:47 PM7:13 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

West Buffalo Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
13,333 ft (4,064 m)
Prominence
1,985 ft (605 m)
Coordinates
38.9917, -106.1250
Nearest town
Buena Vista

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.