Colorado mountains

Mount Yale mountain forecast

14,196 ft (4,327 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 31°F and wind from the WNW at 7 mph, a wind chill of 25°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT. The freezing level is at 14,006 ft, 190 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: mostly sunny, high 48°F at its grid elevation of 13,166 ft.

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The summit on the map

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Now

Summit
14,196 ft (4,327 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,166 ft (4,013 m)
Summit temperature
31°F
Summit wind
WNW 7 mph
Freezing level
14,006 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
44°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,166 ft up 1,030 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT31°FWNW 7 mph25°F14,006 ft190 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT35°FW 10 mph28°F14,810 ft614 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT33°FWSW 11 mph25°F14,469 ft272 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 4 mph27°F14,150 ft46 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT34°FS 10 mph26°F14,511 ft315 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT33°FS 16 mph23°F14,455 ft259 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT32°FSW 16 mph21°F14,278 ft82 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT29°FSW 12 mph19°F13,386 ft810 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT29°FWSW 10 mph21°F13,389 ft807 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT30°FWSW 12 mph21°F13,507 ft689 ft below the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT30°FSW 9 mph21°F13,409 ft787 ft below the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDT29°FS 2 mph13,005 ft1,191 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT, interpolated to 14,196 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TodayHigh 48°FW 10 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 48. West wind around 10 mph.
TonightLow 33°FW 10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind around 10 mph.
SundayHigh 48°FSSW 5-15 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 48. South southwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
Sunday NightLow 34°FWSW 10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and a slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
MondayHigh 41°FWSW 10 mphA chance of snow showers before noon, then snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 32°FW 5-10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 36°FENE 5-10 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 32°FENE 10-15 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 41°FN 10-15 mphA chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. North wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Wednesday NightLow 30°FNW 10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 30. Northwest wind around 10 mph. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (38.8442, -106.3139), by its office in Pueblo, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,166 ft (4,013 m), 1,030 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny44°F / 25°F17,509 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTPartly Cloudy45°F / 25°F17,714 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy34°F / 26°F14,984 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTPartly Sunny33°F / 25°F15,007 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy45°F / 25°F17,714 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms43°F / 24°F17,490 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers35°F / 28°F14,775 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers34°F / 29°F14,301 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSnow Showers38°F / 30°F14,975 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms38°F / 31°F14,747 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely37°F / 32°F14,314 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely37°F / 33°F14,086 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 29: 1.3 in · September 30: 0.6 in. 1.9 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,306 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:30 AM6:57 AM6:56 PM7:22 PM11h 59m
September 276:31 AM6:58 AM6:54 PM7:21 PM11h 56m
September 286:32 AM6:59 AM6:52 PM7:19 PM11h 53m
September 296:33 AM6:59 AM6:51 PM7:17 PM11h 52m
September 306:34 AM7:00 AM6:49 PM7:16 PM11h 49m
October 16:35 AM7:01 AM6:48 PM7:14 PM11h 47m
October 26:36 AM7:02 AM6:46 PM7:13 PM11h 44m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Yale is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,196 ft (4,327 m)
Coordinates
38.8442, -106.3139
Nearest town
Buena Vista

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.