Colorado mountains

Mount Oxford mountain forecast

14,154 ft (4,314 m) · prominence 673 ft (205 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 29°F and wind from the NW at 17 mph, a wind chill of 18°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,537 ft, 617 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 48°F at its grid elevation of 13,671 ft.

Live map with slope anglesBuena Vista forecastAvalanche forecast

The summit on the map

Mount Oxford and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

  • Mount Oxford
  • Other summits
  • Ski area

Open the live map with slope angles

Now

Summit
14,154 ft (4,314 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,671 ft (4,167 m)
Summit temperature
29°F
Summit wind
NW 17 mph
Freezing level
13,537 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
46°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,671 ft up 483 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT29°FNW 17 mph18°F13,537 ft617 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT28°FNW 16 mph17°F12,700 ft1,453 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT32°FNW 7 mph25°F14,111 ft43 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT36°FWSW 9 mph29°F14,925 ft771 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT34°FWSW 8 mph27°F14,603 ft449 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 6 mph26°F14,255 ft102 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT34°FS 12 mph26°F14,577 ft423 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT35°FSSW 12 mph26°F14,767 ft614 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT31°FSSW 17 mph20°F14,055 ft98 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT30°FWSW 16 mph18°F13,166 ft988 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT29°FSW 6 mph23°F13,091 ft1,063 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT30°FSW 6 mph23°F13,133 ft1,020 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,154 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 30°FWNW 15 mphMostly clear, with a low around 30. West northwest wind around 15 mph.
SaturdayHigh 48°FWNW 5-15 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 48. West northwest wind 5 to 15 mph.
Saturday NightLow 33°FWSW 10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 33. West southwest wind around 10 mph.
SundayHigh 48°FSSW 5-10 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 48. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday NightLow 35°FWSW 10 mphA slight chance of snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
MondayHigh 41°FW 5-10 mphA chance of snow showers before noon, then snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 33°FW 5-10 mphSnow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
TuesdayHigh 37°FENE 10 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. East northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 31°FENE 10-15 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. East northeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 42°FNNW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 42. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (38.9647, -106.3390), by its office in Pueblo, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,671 ft (4,167 m), 483 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny31°F / 27°F14,564 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny45°F / 25°F18,219 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy45°F / 26°F17,991 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTMostly Clear35°F / 25°F15,963 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Cloudy33°F / 24°F15,740 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy46°F / 25°F18,465 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers43°F / 25°F17,767 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers37°F / 28°F15,731 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers35°F / 29°F15,052 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSnow Showers40°F / 31°F15,703 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSnow Showers38°F / 32°F15,024 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely37°F / 32°F14,819 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 29: 0.8 in · September 30: 0.5 in. 1.3 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,227 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:30 AM6:57 AM6:57 PM7:24 PM-12h 0m
September 276:31 AM6:58 AM6:56 PM7:22 PM-13h -2m
September 286:32 AM6:59 AM6:54 PM7:21 PM-13h -5m
September 296:33 AM7:00 AM6:53 PM7:19 PM-13h -7m
September 306:34 AM7:01 AM6:51 PM7:18 PM-13h -10m
October 16:35 AM7:01 AM6:49 PM7:16 PM-13h -12m
October 26:36 AM7:02 AM6:48 PM7:14 PM-13h -14m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Oxford is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,154 ft (4,314 m)
Prominence
673 ft (205 m)
Coordinates
38.9647, -106.3390
Nearest town
Buena Vista

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.