Mount Lincoln mountain forecast

Summit

14,285 ft (4,354 m)

Forecast grid ground

12,421 ft (3,786 m)

Summit temperature

28°F

Summit wind

NW 22 mph

Freezing level

13,307 ft

High at the summit, by lapse rate

40°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 12,421 ft up 1,864 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT, interpolated to 14,285 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (39.3514, -106.1108), by its office in Denver/Boulder, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 12,421 ft (3,786 m), 1,864 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

September 29: 0.9 in · September 30: 0.4 in · October 1: 0.2 in. 1.5 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,119 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Mount Lincoln is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Why a summit forecast differs

The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.

Freezing level

The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.

Wind chill

How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.

Cloud base

Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.

Prominence

How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Summits

• Mount Bross14,177 ft · 1 mi
• Mount Democrat14,154 ft · 2 mi
• Quandary Peak14,272 ft · 3 mi
• Mount Silverheels13,829 ft · 6 mi
• Jacque Peak13,212 ft · 9 mi
• Mount Sherman14,042 ft · 9 mi
• Mount of the Holy Cross14,006 ft · 21 mi
• Mount Massive14,419 ft · 23 mi
• Mount Elbert14,439 ft · 24 mi
• West Buffalo Peak13,333 ft · 25 mi

Ski areas

• Breckenridge9 mi
• Ski Cooper10 mi
• Copper Mountain10 mi
• Keystone19 mi
• Arapahoe Basin Ski Area23 mi
• Vail23 mi
• Loveland Basin Ski Area25 mi
• Loveland Valley Ski Area26 mi

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.