Colorado mountains

Mount Bross mountain forecast

14,177 ft (4,321 m) · prominence 312 ft (95 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 29°F and wind from the WNW at 24 mph, a wind chill of 15°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,471 ft, 705 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: sunny, high 47°F at its grid elevation of 12,756 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Bross and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
14,177 ft (4,321 m)
Forecast grid ground
12,756 ft (3,888 m)
Summit temperature
29°F
Summit wind
WNW 24 mph
Freezing level
13,471 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
42°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 12,756 ft up 1,421 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT29°FWNW 24 mph15°F13,471 ft705 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT28°FWNW 24 mph14°F13,291 ft886 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT32°FNW 10 mph23°F14,091 ft85 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT37°FWSW 5 mph32°F15,013 ft837 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT33°FSW 6 mph28°F14,541 ft364 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 6 mph26°F14,291 ft115 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT35°FS 12 mph26°F14,636 ft459 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT33°FSSW 11 mph25°F14,459 ft282 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 15 mph21°F14,170 ft7 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT29°FWSW 9 mph21°F13,383 ft794 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT29°FSW 6 mph23°F13,346 ft830 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT30°FWSW 6 mph24°F13,520 ft656 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,177 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 32°FNW 18 mphMostly clear. Low around 32, with temperatures rising to around 35 overnight. Northwest wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
SaturdayHigh 47°FWNW 8-17 mphSunny, with a high near 47. West northwest wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Saturday NightLow 34°FWNW 8 mphPartly cloudy. Low around 34, with temperatures rising to around 36 overnight. West northwest wind around 8 mph.
SundayHigh 47°FSW 6-13 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Sunday NightLow 32°FWSW 6-9 mphA slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
MondayHigh 42°FW 7 mphA chance of snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely between noon and 3pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday NightLow 30°FNW 9 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely before 9pm, then rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30.
TuesdayHigh 37°FE 10 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 29°FNE 9-21 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 41°FNNW 12-22 mphA chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (39.3353, -106.1070), by its office in Denver/Boulder, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 12,756 ft (3,888 m), 1,421 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTSunny35°F / 29°F14,137 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny42°F / 26°F16,420 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy44°F / 26°F16,871 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTMostly Clear36°F / 27°F14,797 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny35°F / 27°F14,592 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny45°F / 26°F17,076 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Rain And Snow Showers41°F / 28°F15,718 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers37°F / 31°F14,132 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers36°F / 31°F13,886 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms37°F / 32°F13,904 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms38°F / 33°F13,882 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTRain And Snow Showers Likely36°F / 34°F13,203 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 29: 1.0 in · September 30: 0.1 in · October 1: 0.1 in. 1.2 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,119 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:29 AM6:56 AM6:56 PM7:23 PM-12h 0m
September 276:30 AM6:57 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -2m
September 286:31 AM6:58 AM6:53 PM7:20 PM-13h -5m
September 296:32 AM6:59 AM6:52 PM7:18 PM-13h -7m
September 306:33 AM7:00 AM6:50 PM7:17 PM-13h -10m
October 16:34 AM7:01 AM6:48 PM7:15 PM-13h -13m
October 26:35 AM7:02 AM6:47 PM7:13 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Bross is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,177 ft (4,321 m)
Prominence
312 ft (95 m)
Coordinates
39.3353, -106.1070
Nearest town
Blue River

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.