Colorado mountains

Mount Gunnison mountain forecast

12,726 ft (3,879 m) · prominence 3,540 ft (1,079 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 35°F and wind from the WNW at 12 mph, a wind chill of 26°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,478 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: sunny, high 49°F at its grid elevation of 12,162 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Gunnison and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
12,726 ft (3,879 m)
Forecast grid ground
12,162 ft (3,707 m)
Summit temperature
35°F
Summit wind
WNW 12 mph
Freezing level
13,478 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
47°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 12,162 ft up 564 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT35°FWNW 12 mph26°F13,478 ft751 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT35°FWNW 10 mph27°F13,461 ft735 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT37°FW 5 mph33°F13,698 ft971 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT41°FWSW 9 mph35°F14,446 ft1,719 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT39°FSW 9 mph33°F14,249 ft1,522 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT38°FSSW 9 mph31°F13,875 ft1,148 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT38°FS 9 mph32°F13,950 ft1,224 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT37°FSW 9 mph30°F13,619 ft892 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT35°FS 9 mph28°F13,133 ft407 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT33°FSW 18 mph22°F13,045 ft318 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT33°FSW 10 mph24°F12,566 ft161 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT33°FWSW 11 mph25°F13,025 ft299 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 12,726 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 35°FW 5 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind around 5 mph.
SaturdayHigh 49°FWNW 5-10 mphSunny, with a high near 49. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday NightLow 37°FS 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 37. South wind 5 to 10 mph.
SundayHigh 50°FSSW 5-10 mphA slight chance of rain showers between 2pm and 3pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday NightLow 36°FESE 5-10 mphA chance of rain showers before 3am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. East southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
MondayHigh 40°FSW 5 mphRain and snow showers before 9am, then rain and snow showers between 9am and noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday NightLow 36°FE 0-5 mphShowers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers between 9pm and 3am, then rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 36.
TuesdayHigh 40°FN 0-5 mphRain and snow showers likely before noon, then a chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.
Tuesday NightLow 35°FENE 0-5 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
WednesdayHigh 43°FN 0-10 mphA chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 43.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (38.8122, -107.3820), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 12,162 ft (3,707 m), 564 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny35°F / 32°F12,859 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny46°F / 32°F15,361 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTPartly Cloudy48°F / 30°F16,268 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy40°F / 28°F14,878 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny37°F / 29°F13,994 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny48°F / 30°F16,268 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Rain Showers46°F / 31°F15,589 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTChance Rain Showers42°F / 30°F14,914 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTRain And Snow Showers39°F / 32°F13,761 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms37°F / 36°F12,399 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms38°F / 37°F12,376 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTRain And Snow Showers40°F / 36°F13,055 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:34 AM7:01 AM7:02 PM7:28 PM-12h -59m
September 276:35 AM7:02 AM7:00 PM7:26 PM-13h -2m
September 286:36 AM7:03 AM6:58 PM7:25 PM-13h -5m
September 296:37 AM7:04 AM6:57 PM7:23 PM-13h -7m
September 306:38 AM7:05 AM6:55 PM7:22 PM-13h -10m
October 16:39 AM7:06 AM6:54 PM7:20 PM-13h -12m
October 26:40 AM7:07 AM6:52 PM7:19 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Gunnison is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
12,726 ft (3,879 m)
Prominence
3,540 ft (1,079 m)
Coordinates
38.8122, -107.3820
Nearest town
Paonia

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.