Colorado mountains

Crater Peak mountain forecast

11,332 ft (3,454 m) · prominence 2,306 ft (703 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 41°F and wind from the WSW at 7 mph, a wind chill of 36°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,540 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny then slight chance showers and thunderstorms, high 53°F at its grid elevation of 10,459 ft.

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The summit on the map

Crater Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
11,332 ft (3,454 m)
Forecast grid ground
10,459 ft (3,188 m)
Summit temperature
41°F
Summit wind
WSW 7 mph
Freezing level
13,540 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
50°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,459 ft up 873 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT41°FWSW 7 mph36°F13,540 ft2,208 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT41°FWSW 6 mph37°F13,612 ft2,280 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT43°FSW 4 mph41°F13,648 ft2,316 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT47°FSW 9 mph42°F14,318 ft2,986 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT46°FSW 11 mph41°F14,183 ft2,851 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT44°FS 8 mph40°F13,819 ft2,487 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT45°FSSW 11 mph39°F13,816 ft2,484 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT43°FSW 17 mph35°F13,363 ft2,031 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT40°FSSW 12 mph33°F13,018 ft1,686 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT38°FSSW 13 mph29°F12,943 ft1,611 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT37°FSSW 8 mph30°F12,543 ft1,211 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT37°FSSW 7 mph31°F12,887 ft1,555 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 11,332 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 33°FW 5 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 33. West wind around 5 mph.
SaturdayHigh 53°FWSW 5 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 53. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday NightLow 35°FSW 5 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 35. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
SundayHigh 53°FS 5-10 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday NightLow 36°FSE 0-5 mphA chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
MondayHigh 44°FS 0-5 mphRain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday NightLow 33°F 0 mphShowers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 33.
TuesdayHigh 44°FNW 0-5 mphRain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.
Tuesday NightLow 31°FN 0-5 mphA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
WednesdayHigh 49°FNNW 0-5 mphA chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 49.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (39.0397, -107.6630), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,459 ft (3,188 m), 873 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny33°F / 33°F10,477 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms50°F / 37°F13,421 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTPartly Cloudy48°F / 33°F13,881 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy39°F / 31°F12,286 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny36°F / 32°F11,361 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny51°F / 33°F14,578 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Rain Showers47°F / 33°F13,635 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTChance Rain Showers40°F / 34°F11,808 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTRain Showers36°F / 36°F10,459 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms41°F / 39°F10,915 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms40°F / 39°F10,669 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTRain Showers38°F / 38°F10,459 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:36 AM7:02 AM7:03 PM7:29 PM-12h -59m
September 276:36 AM7:03 AM7:01 PM7:28 PM-13h -2m
September 286:37 AM7:04 AM6:59 PM7:26 PM-13h -5m
September 296:38 AM7:05 AM6:58 PM7:24 PM-13h -7m
September 306:39 AM7:06 AM6:56 PM7:23 PM-13h -10m
October 16:40 AM7:07 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -12m
October 26:41 AM7:08 AM6:53 PM7:20 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Crater Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
11,332 ft (3,454 m)
Prominence
2,306 ft (703 m)
Coordinates
39.0397, -107.6630
Nearest town
Paonia

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.