Carbon Peak mountain forecast

Summit

12,087 ft (3,684 m)

Forecast grid ground

10,702 ft (3,262 m)

Summit temperature

36°F

Summit wind

WNW 9 mph

Freezing level

13,402 ft

High at the summit, by lapse rate

51°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,702 ft up 1,385 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 12,087 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (38.7942, -107.0431), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,702 ft (3,262 m), 1,385 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Carbon Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Why a summit forecast differs

The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.

Freezing level

The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.

Wind chill

How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.

Cloud base

Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.

Prominence

How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Summits

• Whetstone Mountain12,526 ft · 4 mi
• Crested Butte12,169 ft · 8 mi
• West Elk Peak13,041 ft · 10 mi
• East Beckwith Mountain12,441 ft · 10 mi
• Marcellina Mountain11,352 ft · 14 mi
• Treasure Mountain13,533 ft · 16 mi
• Castle Peak14,265 ft · 18 mi
• Mount Gunnison12,726 ft · 18 mi
• Mount Guero12,057 ft · 19 mi
• Maroon Bells14,157 ft · 19 mi

Ski areas

• Crested Butte Mountain Resort9 mi
• Cranor Hill Municipal Ski Hill16 mi
• Aspen Highlands27 mi
• Aspen Mountain28 mi
• Aspen Snowmass28 mi
• Buttermilk29 mi

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.