Colorado mountains

Castle Peak mountain forecast

14,265 ft (4,348 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 28°F and wind from the WNW at 13 mph, a wind chill of 17°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,343 ft, 922 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 42°F at its grid elevation of 13,684 ft.

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The summit on the map

Castle Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
14,265 ft (4,348 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,684 ft (4,171 m)
Summit temperature
28°F
Summit wind
WNW 13 mph
Freezing level
13,343 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
40°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,684 ft up 581 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT28°FWNW 13 mph17°F13,343 ft922 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT28°FNW 14 mph16°F13,002 ft1,263 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT31°FWNW 5 mph26°F14,026 ft240 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT34°FWSW 6 mph29°F14,724 ft459 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT33°FSW 8 mph26°F14,452 ft187 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT31°FSSW 6 mph25°F14,098 ft167 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT33°FS 12 mph24°F14,390 ft125 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT33°FWSW 7 mph26°F14,416 ft151 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT30°FS 14 mph19°F13,642 ft623 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT29°FWSW 18 mph17°F12,953 ft1,312 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT28°FSW 7 mph21°F12,838 ft1,427 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT29°FWSW 7 mph22°F12,910 ft1,355 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,265 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 30°FNW 10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 30. Northwest wind around 10 mph.
SaturdayHigh 42°FWNW 5-10 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 42. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday NightLow 32°FSSW 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
SundayHigh 43°FSSW 10-15 mphA slight chance of snow showers between noon and 3pm, then a chance of snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 43. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday NightLow 30°FS 5-15 mphA chance of snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. South wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
MondayHigh 36°FSW 5-15 mphSnow showers before noon, then snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
Monday NightLow 29°FWSW 5-15 mphSnow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 34°FSSE 10-15 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 29°FNNE 10-20 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 38°FNNW 10-20 mphA chance of snow showers before noon, then a chance of snow showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (39.0097, -106.8610), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,684 ft (4,171 m), 581 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTPartly Sunny32°F / 27°F14,823 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Sunny40°F / 25°F17,083 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy41°F / 24°F17,557 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy35°F / 23°F16,432 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny35°F / 26°F15,748 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers41°F / 24°F17,557 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTChance Snow Showers39°F / 24°F17,106 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTChance Snow Showers38°F / 28°F15,949 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTSnow Showers36°F / 30°F15,042 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSnow Showers31°F / 29°F14,121 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSnow Showers32°F / 29°F14,368 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers36°F / 32°F14,586 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 28: 1.8 in · September 29: 2.1 in · September 30: 1.1 in · October 3: 0.5 in. 5.5 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,368 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:32 AM6:59 AM6:59 PM7:26 PM-12h 0m
September 276:33 AM7:00 AM6:58 PM7:24 PM-13h -2m
September 286:34 AM7:01 AM6:56 PM7:23 PM-13h -5m
September 296:35 AM7:02 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -7m
September 306:36 AM7:03 AM6:53 PM7:20 PM-13h -10m
October 16:37 AM7:04 AM6:51 PM7:18 PM-13h -13m
October 26:38 AM7:05 AM6:50 PM7:16 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Castle Peak is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,265 ft (4,348 m)
Coordinates
39.0097, -106.8610

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.