Colorado mountains

Mount Blue Sky mountain forecast

14,229 ft (4,337 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 31°F and wind from the NW at 19 mph, a wind chill of 19°F, Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,940 ft, 289 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: sunny, high 42°F at its grid elevation of 13,150 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Blue Sky and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
14,229 ft (4,337 m)
Forecast grid ground
13,150 ft (4,008 m)
Summit temperature
31°F
Summit wind
NW 19 mph
Freezing level
13,940 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
38°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 13,150 ft up 1,079 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT31°FNW 19 mph19°F13,940 ft289 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT31°FNW 8 mph24°F14,108 ft121 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT35°FSW 4 mph32°F14,770 ft541 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT33°FSW 7 mph27°F14,478 ft249 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 6 mph27°F14,334 ft105 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT34°FS 13 mph25°F14,606 ft377 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT34°FSW 21 mph23°F14,675 ft446 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT32°FSSW 18 mph21°F14,298 ft69 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT30°FW 7 mph23°F13,701 ft528 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT29°FSW 5 mph24°F13,465 ft764 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT30°FSSW 5 mph25°F13,625 ft604 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 14,229 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 28°FNW 23 mphMostly clear, with a low around 28. Northwest wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
SaturdayHigh 42°FWNW 7-23 mphSunny, with a high near 42. West northwest wind 7 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.
Saturday NightLow 31°FWNW 6-12 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 31. West northwest wind 6 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
SundayHigh 43°FSW 8-15 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 43. Southwest wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Sunday NightLow 32°FWSW 9-14 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 32. West southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
MondayHigh 38°FW 6-9 mphA slight chance of snow showers before noon, then snow showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
Monday NightLow 28°FNW 8 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 28. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 31°FNE 6-10 mphSnow showers likely before noon, then snow showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 31. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 27°FN 8-12 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
WednesdayHigh 36°FNNW 10-14 mphA chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (39.5883, -105.6440), by its office in Denver/Boulder, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 13,150 ft (4,008 m), 1,079 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTSunny29°F / 25°F14,048 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny39°F / 21°F17,256 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy40°F / 23°F17,005 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTMostly Clear33°F / 21°F15,902 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTSunny32°F / 21°F15,656 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny41°F / 22°F17,479 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy40°F / 24°F16,777 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTMostly Cloudy34°F / 28°F14,512 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTSlight Chance Snow Showers33°F / 27°F14,535 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSnow Showers Likely34°F / 27°F14,740 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms33°F / 31°F13,624 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTSnow Showers Likely31°F / 31°F13,150 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 0.1 in · September 28: 0.7 in · September 29: 3.9 in · September 30: 0.9 in · October 1: 0.7 in · October 3: 1.7 in. 8.0 inches in all. Snow level as low as 11,122 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:27 AM6:54 AM6:54 PM7:21 PM-12h 0m
September 276:28 AM6:55 AM6:53 PM7:20 PM-13h -2m
September 286:29 AM6:56 AM6:51 PM7:18 PM-13h -5m
September 296:30 AM6:57 AM6:50 PM7:16 PM-13h -7m
September 306:31 AM6:58 AM6:48 PM7:15 PM-13h -10m
October 16:32 AM6:59 AM6:46 PM7:13 PM-13h -13m
October 26:33 AM7:00 AM6:45 PM7:12 PM-13h -15m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Blue Sky is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
14,229 ft (4,337 m)
Coordinates
39.5883, -105.6440
Nearest town
Georgetown

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.