Alaska mountains

Mount Mather mountain forecast

12,057 ft (3,675 m) · prominence 2,822 ft (860 m) · Alaska

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 13°F and wind from the SSW at 18 mph, a wind chill of -4°F, Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT. The freezing level is at 4,843 ft, 7,215 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: snow showers and areas of blowing snow, high 22°F at its grid elevation of 9,567 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Mather and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
12,057 ft (3,675 m)
Forecast grid ground
9,567 ft (2,916 m)
Summit temperature
13°F
Summit wind
SSW 18 mph
Freezing level
4,843 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
13°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 9,567 ft up 2,490 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT13°FSSW 18 mph-4°F4,843 ft7,215 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT12°FS 18 mph-5°F4,423 ft7,635 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT11°FS 27 mph-11°F6,129 ft5,928 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT8°FSSW 23 mph-12°F5,850 ft6,207 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT9°FSSW 17 mph-9°F4,495 ft7,562 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT9°FSSW 11 mph-5°F4,314 ft7,743 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT9°FSE 4 mph2°F4,895 ft7,162 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT7°FSSW 7 mph-4°F5,108 ft6,949 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT5°FSW 2 mph4,413 ft7,644 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT5°FSW 6 mph-5°F3,337 ft8,720 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT4°FWNW 4 mph-3°F4,206 ft7,851 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT4°FW 5 mph-5°F4,997 ft7,060 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 12,057 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TonightLow 18°FS 30 mphAreas of blowing snow and a chance of snow showers before 1am, then snow showers likely and areas of blowing snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. South wind around 30 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
SaturdayHigh 22°FS 30-40 mphSnow showers and areas of blowing snow. Cloudy, with a high near 22. South wind 30 to 40 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible.
Saturday NightLow 15°FS 20-35 mphSnow showers and areas of blowing snow. Cloudy, with a low around 15. South wind 20 to 35 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
SundayHigh 18°FSW 10-20 mphSnow showers likely and areas of blowing snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 18. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Sunday NightLow 12°FW 10 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. West wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
MondayHigh 16°FNW 10 mphSnow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 16. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
Monday NightLow 11°FNW 10 mphSnow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 11. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
TuesdayHigh 12°FNW 5-10 mphSnow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 12. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 8°FNW 5 mphSnow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 8. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 11°FNW 5-10 mphSnow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 11. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (63.1948, -150.4362), by its office in Fairbanks, AK. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 9,567 ft (2,916 m), 2,490 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDTAreas Of Blowing Snow18°F / 14°F10,469 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDTSnow Showers Likely And Areas Of Blowing Snow19°F / 15°F10,487 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDTSnow Showers And Areas Of Blowing Snow19°F / 15°F10,487 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTSnow Showers And Areas Of Blowing Snow20°F / 18°F10,009 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDTSnow Showers And Areas Of Blowing Snow19°F / 17°F10,032 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTSnow Showers Likely And Areas Of Blowing Snow18°F / 16°F10,014 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers16°F / 16°F9,567 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers17°F / 16°F9,809 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers14°F / 12°F10,023 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers12°F / 12°F9,572 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers12°F / 12°F9,572 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDTSnow Showers Likely14°F / 14°F9,567 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 0.6 in · September 26: 7.1 in · September 27: 1.7 in · September 28: 1.2 in · September 29: 4.4 in · September 30: 3.3 in · October 1: 0.6 in. 18.9 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,483 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 257:11 AM7:57 AM7:51 PM8:37 PM-13h -6m
September 267:14 AM8:00 AM7:47 PM8:33 PM-13h -13m
September 277:16 AM8:02 AM7:44 PM8:30 PM-13h -18m
September 287:19 AM8:05 AM7:41 PM8:26 PM-13h -24m
September 297:22 AM8:08 AM7:37 PM8:23 PM-13h -31m
September 307:25 AM8:11 AM7:34 PM8:20 PM-13h -37m
October 17:27 AM8:13 AM7:30 PM8:16 PM-13h -43m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Elevation
12,057 ft (3,675 m)
Prominence
2,822 ft (860 m)
Coordinates
63.1948, -150.4362
Nearest town
Talkeetna

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.