Mount Dickey mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 20°F and wind from the S at 15 mph, a wind chill of 6°F, Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 3,858 ft, 5,686 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: light snow likely, high 33°F at its grid elevation of 4,721 ft.
The summit on the map
Mount Dickey and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Dickey
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 9,544 ft (2,909 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 4,721 ft (1,439 m)
- Summit temperature
- 20°F
- Summit wind
- S 15 mph
- Freezing level
- 3,858 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 16°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 4,721 ft up 4,823 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | 20°F | S 15 mph | 6°F | 3,858 ft | 5,686 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | 18°F | S 20 mph | 1°F | 5,659 ft | 3,885 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 17°F | S 17 mph | 1°F | 5,522 ft | 4,022 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 17°F | S 12 mph | 4°F | 3,930 ft | 5,614 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 18°F | S 9 mph | 7°F | 3,734 ft | 5,810 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 17°F | S 4 mph | 10°F | 4,236 ft | 5,308 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | 16°F | SSW 7 mph | 5°F | 5,151 ft | 4,393 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | 15°F | SSW 4 mph | 9°F | 3,757 ft | 5,787 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | 15°F | SW 2 mph | 2,999 ft | 6,545 ft below the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | 15°F | NW 1 mph | 3,822 ft | 5,722 ft below the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | 15°F | WNW 2 mph | 5,223 ft | 4,321 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 9,544 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 26°F | SW 5 mph | A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Saturday | High 33°F | S 5-10 mph | Snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
| Saturday Night | Low 26°F | SW 5 mph | Snow likely before 4am, then widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Sunday | High 33°F | SW 5 mph | Widespread snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 33. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
| Sunday Night | Low 25°F | NW 5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. |
| Monday | High 32°F | NW 5 mph | Widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Monday Night | Low 24°F | N 0-5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tuesday | High 31°F | 0 mph | Snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 31. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 22°F | NW 0-5 mph | Snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 22. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Wednesday | High 30°F | NW 0-5 mph | Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 30. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (62.9461, -150.7210), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 4,721 ft (1,439 m), 4,823 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 27°F / 24°F | 5,395 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | Light Snow Likely | 29°F / 27°F | 5,163 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Light Snow Likely | 32°F / 28°F | 5,632 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 28°F / 26°F | 5,186 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Widespread Snow Showers | 27°F / 26°F | 4,940 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Widespread Snow Showers | 27°F / 24°F | 5,395 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Isolated Snow Showers | 32°F / 31°F | 4,949 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Partly Cloudy | 27°F / 26°F | 4,940 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 25°F / 20°F | 5,856 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 27°F / 25°F | 5,168 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 32°F / 30°F | 5,177 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 28°F / 27°F | 4,958 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 26: 1.8 in · September 27: 0.9 in · September 28: 0.7 in · September 29: 2.2 in · September 30: 2.2 in · October 1: 1.3 in · October 2: 3.7 in. 12.8 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,470 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 7:12 AM | 7:58 AM | 7:52 PM | 8:38 PM | -13h -6m |
| September 27 | 7:15 AM | 8:01 AM | 7:49 PM | 8:34 PM | -13h -12m |
| September 28 | 7:18 AM | 8:03 AM | 7:45 PM | 8:31 PM | -13h -18m |
| September 29 | 7:21 AM | 8:06 AM | 7:42 PM | 8:27 PM | -13h -24m |
| September 30 | 7:23 AM | 8:09 AM | 7:39 PM | 8:24 PM | -13h -30m |
| October 1 | 7:26 AM | 8:12 AM | 7:35 PM | 8:21 PM | -13h -37m |
| October 2 | 7:29 AM | 8:14 AM | 7:32 PM | 8:17 PM | -13h -42m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 9,544 ft (2,909 m)
- Prominence
- 2,493 ft (760 m)
- Coordinates
- 62.9461, -150.7210
- Nearest town
- Talkeetna
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.