Alaska mountains

Mount Dickey mountain forecast

9,544 ft (2,909 m) · prominence 2,493 ft (760 m) · Alaska

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 20°F and wind from the S at 15 mph, a wind chill of 6°F, Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 3,858 ft, 5,686 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: light snow likely, high 33°F at its grid elevation of 4,721 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Dickey and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
9,544 ft (2,909 m)
Forecast grid ground
4,721 ft (1,439 m)
Summit temperature
20°F
Summit wind
S 15 mph
Freezing level
3,858 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
16°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 4,721 ft up 4,823 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT20°FS 15 mph6°F3,858 ft5,686 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT18°FS 20 mph1°F5,659 ft3,885 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT17°FS 17 mph1°F5,522 ft4,022 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT17°FS 12 mph4°F3,930 ft5,614 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT18°FS 9 mph7°F3,734 ft5,810 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT17°FS 4 mph10°F4,236 ft5,308 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT16°FSSW 7 mph5°F5,151 ft4,393 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT15°FSSW 4 mph9°F3,757 ft5,787 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT15°FSW 2 mph2,999 ft6,545 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT15°FNW 1 mph3,822 ft5,722 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT15°FWNW 2 mph5,223 ft4,321 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 9,544 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 26°FSW 5 mphA chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
SaturdayHigh 33°FS 5-10 mphSnow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 33. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Saturday NightLow 26°FSW 5 mphSnow likely before 4am, then widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
SundayHigh 33°FSW 5 mphWidespread snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 33. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday NightLow 25°FNW 5 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
MondayHigh 32°FNW 5 mphWidespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Monday NightLow 24°FN 0-5 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 31°F 0 mphSnow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 31. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Tuesday NightLow 22°FNW 0-5 mphSnow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 22. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 30°FNW 0-5 mphSnow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 30. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (62.9461, -150.7210), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 4,721 ft (1,439 m), 4,823 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDTChance Light Snow27°F / 24°F5,395 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDTLight Snow Likely29°F / 27°F5,163 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTLight Snow Likely32°F / 28°F5,632 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDTChance Light Snow28°F / 26°F5,186 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers27°F / 26°F4,940 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers27°F / 24°F5,395 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTIsolated Snow Showers32°F / 31°F4,949 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDTPartly Cloudy27°F / 26°F4,940 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers25°F / 20°F5,856 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers27°F / 25°F5,168 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers32°F / 30°F5,177 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers28°F / 27°F4,958 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 26: 1.8 in · September 27: 0.9 in · September 28: 0.7 in · September 29: 2.2 in · September 30: 2.2 in · October 1: 1.3 in · October 2: 3.7 in. 12.8 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,470 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 267:12 AM7:58 AM7:52 PM8:38 PM-13h -6m
September 277:15 AM8:01 AM7:49 PM8:34 PM-13h -12m
September 287:18 AM8:03 AM7:45 PM8:31 PM-13h -18m
September 297:21 AM8:06 AM7:42 PM8:27 PM-13h -24m
September 307:23 AM8:09 AM7:39 PM8:24 PM-13h -30m
October 17:26 AM8:12 AM7:35 PM8:21 PM-13h -37m
October 27:29 AM8:14 AM7:32 PM8:17 PM-13h -42m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Elevation
9,544 ft (2,909 m)
Prominence
2,493 ft (760 m)
Coordinates
62.9461, -150.7210
Nearest town
Talkeetna

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.