Mount Church (Alaska) mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 24°F and wind from the S at 13 mph, a wind chill of 13°F, Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 5,348 ft, 2,274 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: light snow likely, high 26°F at its grid elevation of 7,398 ft.
The summit on the map
Mount Church (Alaska) and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Church (Alaska)
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 7,621 ft (2,323 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 7,398 ft (2,255 m)
- Summit temperature
- 24°F
- Summit wind
- S 13 mph
- Freezing level
- 5,348 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 25°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 7,398 ft up 223 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | 24°F | S 13 mph | 13°F | 5,348 ft | 2,274 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 25°F | S 12 mph | 14°F | 5,659 ft | 1,962 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | S 9 mph | 14°F | 4,452 ft | 3,169 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 25°F | S 7 mph | 16°F | 4,688 ft | 2,933 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 25°F | S 5 mph | 18°F | 4,783 ft | 2,838 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | SW 4 mph | 17°F | 5,230 ft | 2,392 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | 22°F | WNW 1 mph | 4,170 ft | 3,451 ft below the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | 22°F | NW 4 mph | 17°F | 3,911 ft | 3,711 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | 23°F | N 3 mph | 19°F | 4,685 ft | 2,936 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | 23°F | NNW 2 mph | 5,180 ft | 2,441 ft below the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | 20°F | NNW 2 mph | 3,428 ft | 4,193 ft below the summit | |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | 19°F | NW 2 mph | 2,907 ft | 4,715 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT, interpolated to 7,621 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | High 26°F | S 5-10 mph | Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 26. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tonight | Low 19°F | SW 5 mph | Snow likely before 4am, then scattered snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Sunday | High 25°F | SW 5 mph | Scattered snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 25. Southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Sunday Night | Low 19°F | W 0-5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. West wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Monday | High 22°F | N 0-5 mph | Widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 22. North wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Monday Night | Low 18°F | N 0-5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18. North wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. |
| Tuesday | High 20°F | NW 5 mph | A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 20. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 17°F | NW 5 mph | Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 17. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
| Wednesday | High 19°F | NW 5 mph | Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 19. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. |
| Wednesday Night | Low 15°F | NW 5 mph | Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 15. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (62.8783, -150.6858), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 7,398 ft (2,255 m), 223 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | Light Snow Likely | 25°F / 23°F | 7,849 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 24°F / 22°F | 7,872 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 25°F / 23°F | 7,849 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 24°F / 22°F | 7,872 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Isolated Snow Showers | 21°F / 20°F | 7,630 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Isolated Snow Showers | 23°F / 22°F | 7,626 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Partly Cloudy | 22°F / 20°F | 7,835 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 20°F / 17°F | 8,068 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 20°F / 17°F | 8,068 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 22°F / 20°F | 7,835 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 20°F / 20°F | 7,398 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 18°F / 18°F | 7,398 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 26: 1.1 in · September 28: 0.9 in · September 29: 1.5 in · September 30: 1.6 in · October 1: 1.2 in · October 2: 3.2 in. 9.5 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,430 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 7:12 AM | 7:58 AM | 7:49 PM | 8:37 PM | 11h 51m |
| September 27 | 7:15 AM | 8:01 AM | 7:45 PM | 8:34 PM | 11h 44m |
| September 28 | 7:18 AM | 8:03 AM | 7:42 PM | 8:30 PM | 11h 39m |
| September 29 | 7:20 AM | 8:06 AM | 7:38 PM | 8:27 PM | 11h 32m |
| September 30 | 7:23 AM | 8:09 AM | 7:35 PM | 8:24 PM | 11h 26m |
| October 1 | 7:26 AM | 8:11 AM | 7:32 PM | 8:17 PM | 11h 21m |
| October 2 | 7:29 AM | 8:14 AM | 7:28 PM | 8:14 PM | 11h 14m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 7,621 ft (2,323 m)
- Prominence
- 3,921 ft (1,195 m)
- Coordinates
- 62.8783, -150.6858
- Nearest town
- Talkeetna
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.