Alert archive / Virginia / Fauquier County

Weather alerts in Fauquier County, Virginia, 2023

126 weather alerts in 2023, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Fauquier County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2023. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
126
Warnings
49
Watches
27
Advisories
23
Busiest month
July37 alerts
Busiest day
August 7, 202315 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 2 tornado warnings covering Fauquier County in 2023 had a tornado report inside them.

Fauquier County, 2023

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings20100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings362725%1894%17 min
Flash flood warnings110%1100%17 min

Each office's whole area, 2023

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings15193%250%0 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings37028623%99289%21 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings482352%4798%48 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Dec 31, 11:10 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX10 hr
Jan 5, 4:38 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX4 hr
Jan 20, 2:13 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX4 hr
Feb 17, 3:21 PM ESTWind AdvisoryLWX4 hr
Feb 21, 3:58 AM ESTWind AdvisoryLWX13 hr
Mar 3, 12:33 PM ESTWind AdvisoryLWX26 hr
Mar 13, 2:38 PM EDTWind AdvisoryLWX33 hr
Mar 15, 10:38 AM EDTWind AdvisoryLWX2 hr
Mar 25, 11:17 PM EDTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX5 hr
Mar 29, 3:34 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX29 hr
Mar 30, 3:40 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchLWX35 hr
Mar 31, 2:29 PM EDTHigh Wind WarningLWX35 hr
Mar 31, 2:29 PM EDTWind AdvisoryLWX35 hr
Apr 2, 1:13 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryLWX20 hr
Apr 6, 2:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Apr 6, 2:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 6, 4:44 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC91 min
Apr 7, 11:21 AM EDTFreeze WatchLWX16 hr
Apr 8, 3:21 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX30 hr
Apr 8, 9:59 AM EDTFreeze WatchLWX23 hr
Apr 9, 9:08 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX24 hr
Apr 12, 9:01 AM EDTRed Flag WarningLWX11 hr
Apr 17, 12:25 PM EDTFire Weather WatchLWX15 hr
Apr 18, 3:14 AM EDTRed Flag WarningLWX17 hr
Apr 20, 11:22 AM EDTFire Weather WatchLWX15 hr
Apr 22, 9:34 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Apr 22, 10:07 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr
Apr 22, 12:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX51 min
Apr 22, 12:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Apr 22, 1:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX40 min
Apr 24, 3:08 AM EDTFreeze WatchLWX11 hr
Apr 24, 2:32 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryLWX17 hr
Apr 24, 2:32 PM EDTFreeze WarningLWX17 hr
Jun 16, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 16, 4:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Jun 16, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jun 19, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX19 min
Jun 26, 12:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 26, 2:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jun 26, 4:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC90 min
Jul 1, 1:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jul 1, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jul 2, 2:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Jul 2, 4:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 3, 1:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 3, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 3, 3:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jul 3, 4:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 8, 3:23 PM EDTFlood WatchLWX25 hr
Jul 9, 12:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
Jul 9, 1:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 13, 2:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 14, 2:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 15, 3:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 15, 6:38 PM EDTFlood WatchLWX23 hr
Jul 19, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 25, 12:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr
Jul 25, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX18 min
Jul 25, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX18 min
Jul 25, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jul 26, 9:01 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX35 hr
Jul 26, 1:57 PM EDTExcessive Heat WatchLWX24 hr
Jul 27, 1:48 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX29 hr
Jul 27, 3:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jul 27, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX50 min
Jul 28, 8:33 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX34 hr
Jul 28, 1:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 28, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX49 min
Jul 28, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Jul 28, 6:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Jul 28, 6:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC87 min
Jul 28, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jul 29, 1:56 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jul 29, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 29, 4:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX43 min
Jul 29, 4:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 29, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX45 min
Aug 7, 8:18 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Aug 7, 12:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 7, 1:20 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC11 hr
Aug 7, 3:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Aug 7, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWX48 min
Aug 7, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX22 min
Aug 7, 4:12 PM EDTTornado WarningLWX18 min
Aug 7, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Aug 7, 4:40 PM EDTTornado WarningLWX23 min
Aug 7, 4:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC95 min
Aug 7, 4:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Aug 7, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX16 min
Aug 7, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Aug 7, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX62 min
Aug 7, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Aug 14, 1:55 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Sep 5, 12:36 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX18 hr
Sep 6, 3:11 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX16 hr
Sep 6, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX33 min
Sep 7, 11:58 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Sep 7, 12:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Sep 7, 1:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Sep 7, 1:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Sep 7, 3:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Sep 7, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX25 min
Sep 8, 2:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Sep 8, 3:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Sep 8, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX31 min
Sep 8, 5:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX31 min
Sep 8, 5:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Sep 8, 6:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Sep 8, 6:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Sep 9, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min
Sep 9, 4:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Sep 9, 4:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Sep 9, 4:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min
Sep 9, 4:58 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningLWX97 min
Sep 22, 4:20 AM EDTWind AdvisoryLWX39 hr
Oct 23, 9:52 AM EDTFrost AdvisoryLWX24 hr
Oct 23, 9:52 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX24 hr
Oct 31, 3:48 AM EDTFreeze WatchLWX23 hr
Nov 1, 2:26 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX32 hr
Nov 17, 11:25 AM ESTFire Weather WatchLWX16 hr
Nov 22, 4:55 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX5 hr
Dec 2, 2:13 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX9 hr
Dec 8, 8:16 PM ESTFlood WatchLWX46 hr
Dec 17, 3:51 AM ESTWind AdvisoryLWX34 hr
Dec 17, 11:41 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWX15 hr
Dec 25, 9:19 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX101 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20222024

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.