Alert archive / Virginia / Culpeper County

Weather alerts in Culpeper County, Virginia, 2026

163 weather alerts in 2026, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Culpeper County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2026. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
163
Warnings
71
Watches
28
Advisories
21
Busiest month
July47 alerts
Busiest day
June 12, 202616 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

0 of 2 tornado warnings covering Culpeper County in 2026 had a tornado report inside them.

Culpeper County, 2026

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings20100%0
Severe thunderstorm warnings624527%2295%19 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2026

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Baltimore/Washington: tornado warnings47687%1464%13 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: severe thunderstorm warnings52636630%1,47787%20 min
NWS Baltimore/Washington: flash flood warnings462741%7887%57 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

The year is still running; reports filed late and damage surveys can still change these figures.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 22, 2:16 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchLWX32 hr
Jan 22, 12:49 PM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX47 hr
Jan 23, 10:03 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningLWX67 hr
Jan 25, 9:39 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jan 25, 3:02 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr
Jan 25, 11:13 PM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX4 days
Jan 27, 12:01 AM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX35 hr
Jan 27, 11:39 PM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX59 hr
Jan 30, 12:35 AM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX33 hr
Jan 31, 1:12 AM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX34 hr
Feb 6, 1:55 AM ESTCold Weather AdvisoryLWX56 hr
Feb 6, 1:55 AM ESTWind AdvisoryLWX41 hr
Feb 7, 2:14 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLWX46 min
Feb 7, 2:51 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLWX24 min
Feb 7, 3:24 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementLWX36 min
Feb 17, 4:52 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX6 hr
Feb 21, 2:46 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryLWX51 hr
Mar 2, 2:26 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryLWX35 hr
Mar 4, 8:50 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX13 hr
Mar 6, 3:28 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryLWX7 hr
Mar 16, 9:58 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Mar 16, 10:03 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Mar 16, 10:27 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Mar 16, 10:33 AM EDTTornado WarningLWX27 min
Mar 16, 10:52 AM EDTTornado WatchSPC8 hr
Mar 16, 10:55 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX33 min
Mar 16, 11:14 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX23 min
Mar 16, 12:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Mar 16, 12:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Mar 16, 5:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Mar 16, 8:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Apr 1, 3:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Apr 6, 1:49 PM EDTFreeze WatchLWX12 hr
Apr 7, 2:13 AM EDTFreeze WatchLWX35 hr
Apr 7, 2:13 AM EDTFreeze WarningLWX31 hr
Apr 8, 12:57 PM EDTFreeze WarningLWX20 hr
Apr 18, 11:59 PM EDTFreeze WatchLWX24 hr
Apr 19, 11:35 PM EDTFreeze WarningLWX33 hr
May 2, 12:07 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryLWX21 hr
May 10, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
May 19, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX22 min
May 19, 5:40 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC65 min
May 20, 12:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
May 27, 12:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX66 min
May 27, 12:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Jun 11, 2:58 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX26 hr
Jun 11, 3:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 11, 4:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 11, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jun 11, 6:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWX35 min
Jun 11, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Jun 11, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Jun 11, 8:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX25 min
Jun 11, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX61 min
Jun 12, 2:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC24 min
Jun 12, 2:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 12, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX28 min
Jun 12, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX28 min
Jun 12, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Jun 12, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX34 min
Jun 12, 4:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Jun 12, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX48 min
Jun 12, 4:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC117 min
Jun 12, 5:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Jun 12, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jun 12, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Jun 12, 6:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX42 min
Jun 12, 7:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jun 14, 3:17 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jun 14, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 14, 6:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jun 22, 1:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 22, 2:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr
Jun 22, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Jun 22, 4:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jun 22, 5:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Jun 22, 5:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min
Jun 26, 3:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Jun 30, 3:03 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX41 hr
Jun 30, 3:03 AM EDTExtreme Heat WatchLWX34 hr
Jul 1, 1:32 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningLWX30 hr
Jul 1, 1:32 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningLWX55 hr
Jul 2, 8:36 AM EDTExtreme Heat WatchLWX5 hr
Jul 2, 1:32 PM EDTExtreme Heat WarningLWX54 hr
Jul 4, 12:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 4, 2:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jul 4, 2:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jul 4, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX54 min
Jul 4, 4:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Jul 4, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX53 min
Jul 4, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Jul 4, 6:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Jul 4, 6:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX41 min
Jul 5, 1:57 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX18 hr
Jul 5, 5:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX52 min
Jul 5, 6:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 5, 6:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWX38 min
Jul 5, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Jul 5, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jul 5, 9:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX59 min
Jul 6, 4:09 AM EDTFlood WatchLWX22 hr
Jul 6, 2:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jul 7, 4:44 AM EDTFlood WatchLWX16 hr
Jul 9, 2:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jul 9, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 9, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX24 min
Jul 14, 12:04 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX32 hr
Jul 16, 9:55 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX10 hr
Jul 18, 12:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Jul 18, 1:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX47 min
Jul 18, 2:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jul 18, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX20 min
Jul 18, 4:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC62 min
Jul 21, 1:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jul 21, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC11 hr
Jul 21, 7:57 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 26, 9:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 27, 12:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX29 min
Jul 28, 2:04 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Jul 28, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jul 28, 4:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 28, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX60 min
Jul 28, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX58 min
Jul 28, 5:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLWX24 min
Jul 28, 5:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX64 min
Jul 28, 5:46 PM EDTTornado WarningLWX29 min
Jul 28, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX25 min
Aug 6, 1:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 8, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX46 min
Aug 8, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX39 min
Aug 8, 3:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Aug 8, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX68 min
Aug 8, 4:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX60 min
Aug 10, 1:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 10, 3:39 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 10, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX57 min
Aug 10, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX69 min
Aug 16, 3:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 16, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Aug 16, 7:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Aug 20, 2:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Aug 22, 2:27 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 22, 6:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Aug 22, 6:35 PM EDTFlood WatchLWX5 hr
Aug 22, 8:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX53 min
Aug 22, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX31 min
Aug 27, 1:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC113 min
Aug 27, 3:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Sep 2, 3:21 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX16 hr
Sep 2, 11:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Sep 2, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX36 min
Sep 2, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX35 min
Sep 2, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX30 min
Sep 2, 3:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX27 min
Sep 2, 4:08 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryLWX27 hr
Sep 3, 6:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC116 min
Sep 3, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr
Sep 3, 11:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min
Sep 4, 1:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC119 min
Sep 4, 2:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Sep 4, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Sep 4, 3:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX44 min
Sep 4, 3:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX26 min

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive2025

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.